BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 00:00 on Tuesday, January 31, 2023

Buffalo 2022 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Raw 2022 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.47 27.02 27.02 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 391.09 374.09 374.09 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.65 5.65 (+0.00)

Buffalo 2022 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 25.64 18.44 (-7.19) 26.42 21.16 (-5.25) 21.16 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 396.00 346.49 (-49.51) 279.83 252.36 (-27.47) 252.36 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.29 4.42 (-0.87) 3.66 3.14 (-0.52) 3.14 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 32.00 37.88 (+5.88) 24.08 30.12 (+6.04) 30.12 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 445.36 483.96 (+38.60) 287.17 341.02 (+53.85) 341.02 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 6.81 7.35 (+0.55) 4.58 5.56 (+0.98) 5.56 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +4.5

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2022-09-03 @Maryland 14.05 37.04 -22.99 51.10 13.13% L 10-31 0-1
2022-09-10 Holy Cross Non-FBS Opponent L 31-37 0-2
2022-09-17 @Coastal Carolina 26.27 29.06 -2.79 55.34 45.53% L 26-38 0-3
2022-09-24 @Eastern Michigan 31.29 25.52 +5.77 56.81 59.25% W 50-31 1-3
2022-10-01 Miami (OH) 22.92 18.12 +4.80 41.03 57.70% W 24-20 2-3
2022-10-08 @Bowling Green 31.33 23.06 +8.27 54.39 63.26% W 38-7 3-3
2022-10-15 @UMass 34.14 11.46 +22.68 45.60 86.37% W 34-7 4-3
2022-10-22 Toledo 30.06 30.17 -0.12 60.23 49.81% W 34-27 5-3
2022-11-01 @Ohio 30.18 33.66 -3.48 63.84 44.42% L 24-45 5-4
2022-11-10 @Central Michigan 25.25 23.66 +1.59 48.90 52.55% L 27-31 5-5
2022-11-19 Akron 27.44 16.33 +11.10 43.77 67.81% L 0-0 5-5
2022-11-26 Kent State 28.77 26.07 +2.69 54.84 54.32% L 27-30 5-6
2022-12-02 Akron 27.44 16.33 +11.10 43.77 67.81% W 23-22 6-6

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
6-7 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-12 0.00%
2-11 0.05%
3-10 0.44%
4-9 2.19%
5-8 6.86%
6-7 14.74%
7-6 22.21%
8-5 23.65%
9-4 17.81%
10-3 8.74%
11-2 2.76%
12-1 0.50%
13-0 0.04%