BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 00:00 on Tuesday, January 31, 2023

Virginia 2022 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Raw 2022 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.47 27.02 27.02 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 391.09 374.09 374.09 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.65 5.65 (+0.00)

Virginia 2022 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 33.82 36.15 (+2.33) 12.36 16.37 (+4.01) 16.37 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 513.09 527.64 (+14.55) 199.82 206.10 (+6.28) 206.10 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 6.84 6.98 (+0.14) 2.94 3.05 (+0.11) 3.05 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 34.73 30.28 (-4.45) 20.27 16.64 (-3.63) 16.64 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 491.73 459.30 (-32.43) 252.00 203.36 (-48.64) 203.36 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 6.88 6.62 (-0.26) 3.47 2.90 (-0.57) 2.90 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +3.1

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2022-09-03 Richmond Non-FBS Opponent W 34-17 1-0
2022-09-10 @Illinois 6.17 21.38 -15.21 27.55 25.61% L 3-24 1-1
2022-09-17 Old Dominion 21.42 11.24 +10.18 32.66 66.33% W 16-14 2-1
2022-09-23 @Syracuse 12.47 22.79 -10.33 35.26 33.44% L 20-22 2-2
2022-10-01 @Duke 15.82 25.90 -10.08 41.72 33.83% L 17-38 2-3
2022-10-08 Louisville 11.84 19.94 -8.10 31.78 37.01% L 17-34 2-4
2022-10-20 @Georgia Tech 9.82 12.52 -2.70 22.33 45.68% W 16-9 3-4
2022-10-29 Miami 18.38 11.37 +7.01 29.75 61.25% L 12-14 3-5
2022-11-05 North Carolina 24.59 27.18 -2.59 51.77 45.85% L 28-31 3-6
2022-11-12 Pittsburgh 15.13 22.75 -7.62 37.89 37.78% L 7-37 3-7
2022-11-19 Coastal Carolina 23.69 14.39 +9.30 38.09 64.92% n/a n/a
2022-11-26 @Virginia Tech 12.99 9.02 +3.97 22.02 56.37% n/a n/a

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
3-9 15.29% 0.00% 100.00%
4-8 48.01% 15.29% 84.70%
5-7 36.69% 63.31% 36.69%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-11 0.09%
2-10 0.85%
3-9 4.02%
4-8 11.02%
5-7 19.98%
6-6 24.51%
7-5 20.88%
8-4 12.26%
9-3 4.98%
10-2 1.22%
11-1 0.18%
12-0 0.02%