BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Appalachian State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Appalachian State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
32.80 |
32.01 (-0.79) |
34.91 |
31.52 (-3.39) |
31.52 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
440.70 |
430.79 (-9.91) |
452.45 |
435.85 (-16.61) |
435.85 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.22 |
6.12 (-0.10) |
6.67 |
6.47 (-0.21) |
6.47 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
31.80 |
35.45 (+3.65) |
26.91 |
31.10 (+4.19) |
31.10 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
381.00 |
377.82 (-3.18) |
371.45 |
393.22 (+21.76) |
393.22 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.73 |
5.79 (+0.06) |
5.67 |
6.07 (+0.40) |
6.07 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Gardner-Webb |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-24 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@North Carolina |
32.70 |
46.35 |
+13.65 |
79.05 |
28.10% |
L 34-40 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
East Carolina |
33.48 |
15.72 |
-17.76 |
49.20 |
78.48% |
W 43-28 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Wyoming |
28.58 |
30.58 |
+2.00 |
59.16 |
46.79% |
L 19-22 |
2-2 |
| 2023-10-01 |
@Louisiana Monroe |
43.97 |
17.38 |
-26.59 |
61.36 |
92.65% |
W 41-40 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-10 |
Coastal Carolina |
35.57 |
25.56 |
-10.01 |
61.13 |
66.05% |
L 24-27 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Old Dominion |
33.51 |
25.12 |
-8.38 |
58.63 |
63.45% |
L 21-28 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Southern Mississippi |
48.36 |
23.85 |
-24.51 |
72.22 |
89.31% |
W 48-38 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Marshall |
38.20 |
25.67 |
-12.53 |
63.87 |
70.09% |
W 31-9 |
5-4 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Georgia State |
37.15 |
27.23 |
-9.92 |
64.38 |
65.91% |
W 42-14 |
6-4 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@James Madison |
26.65 |
39.35 |
+12.69 |
66.00 |
29.64% |
W 26-23 |
7-4 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Georgia Southern |
44.53 |
30.55 |
-13.98 |
75.07 |
72.42% |
W 55-27 |
8-4 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-4 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.00% |
| 3-9 |
0.10% |
| 4-8 |
0.69% |
| 5-7 |
3.31% |
| 6-6 |
10.14% |
| 7-5 |
20.70% |
| 8-4 |
26.94% |
| 9-3 |
22.98% |
| 10-2 |
11.57% |
| 11-1 |
3.22% |
| 12-0 |
0.35% |