BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Ball State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Ball State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.55 |
16.03 (-6.52) |
15.82 |
9.66 (-6.16) |
9.66 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
377.73 |
318.17 (-59.56) |
289.36 |
252.14 (-37.22) |
252.14 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.12 |
4.37 (-0.75) |
4.68 |
4.09 (-0.59) |
4.09 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.36 |
32.95 (+3.58) |
26.00 |
30.80 (+4.80) |
30.80 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
422.36 |
449.35 (+26.98) |
309.09 |
364.27 (+55.17) |
364.27 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.22 |
5.55 (+0.33) |
5.12 |
5.51 (+0.39) |
5.51 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Kentucky |
8.53 |
40.49 |
+31.97 |
49.02 |
0.10% |
L 14-44 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Georgia |
1.75 |
49.05 |
+47.30 |
50.80 |
0.10% |
L 3-45 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Indiana State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-7 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Georgia Southern |
17.58 |
30.04 |
+12.47 |
47.62 |
30.00% |
L 3-40 |
1-3 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Western Michigan |
20.41 |
27.38 |
+6.96 |
47.79 |
38.83% |
L 24-42 |
1-4 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Eastern Michigan |
13.33 |
13.10 |
-0.23 |
26.43 |
50.37% |
L 10-24 |
1-5 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Toledo |
12.70 |
30.57 |
+17.87 |
43.27 |
21.34% |
L 6-13 |
1-6 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Central Michigan |
17.48 |
20.96 |
+3.48 |
38.44 |
44.42% |
W 24-17 |
2-6 |
| 2023-11-01 |
@Bowling Green |
11.48 |
26.16 |
+14.68 |
37.64 |
26.46% |
L 21-24 |
2-7 |
| 2023-11-08 |
@Northern Illinois |
13.09 |
24.51 |
+11.42 |
37.61 |
31.68% |
W 20-17 |
3-7 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Kent State |
24.22 |
11.49 |
-12.73 |
35.70 |
70.42% |
W 34-3 |
4-7 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Miami (OH) |
8.54 |
20.19 |
+11.64 |
28.73 |
31.32% |
L 15-17 |
4-8 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.97% |
| 2-10 |
6.40% |
| 3-9 |
17.89% |
| 4-8 |
27.36% |
| 5-7 |
25.28% |
| 6-6 |
14.81% |
| 7-5 |
5.75% |
| 8-4 |
1.35% |
| 9-3 |
0.17% |
| 10-2 |
0.01% |