BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Fresno State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Fresno State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
30.33 |
27.79 (-2.54) |
29.55 |
24.23 (-5.31) |
24.23 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
382.17 |
356.23 (-25.94) |
377.00 |
342.27 (-34.73) |
342.27 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.68 |
5.30 (-0.38) |
5.65 |
4.97 (-0.68) |
4.97 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.58 |
26.70 (+5.12) |
24.00 |
27.54 (+3.54) |
27.54 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
353.50 |
413.86 (+60.36) |
386.55 |
421.26 (+34.71) |
421.26 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.25 |
5.85 (+0.60) |
5.59 |
6.02 (+0.43) |
6.02 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Purdue |
27.54 |
32.48 |
+4.94 |
60.01 |
42.08% |
W 39-35 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-10 |
Eastern Washington |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 34-31 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-17 |
@Arizona State |
21.90 |
24.70 |
+2.79 |
46.60 |
45.52% |
W 29-0 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-24 |
Kent State |
46.43 |
9.09 |
-37.34 |
55.53 |
99.90% |
W 53-10 |
4-0 |
| 2023-10-01 |
Nevada |
33.68 |
12.39 |
-21.29 |
46.07 |
84.15% |
W 27-9 |
5-0 |
| 2023-10-08 |
@Wyoming |
21.65 |
27.31 |
+5.66 |
48.96 |
40.93% |
L 19-24 |
5-1 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Utah State |
36.48 |
33.05 |
-3.42 |
69.53 |
55.49% |
W 37-32 |
6-1 |
| 2023-10-29 |
UNLV |
30.70 |
34.22 |
+3.52 |
64.91 |
44.36% |
W 31-24 |
7-1 |
| 2023-11-05 |
Boise State |
26.21 |
30.02 |
+3.81 |
56.22 |
43.89% |
W 37-30 |
8-1 |
| 2023-11-12 |
@San José State |
23.88 |
31.18 |
+7.29 |
55.06 |
38.30% |
L 18-42 |
8-2 |
| 2023-11-19 |
New Mexico |
40.09 |
21.40 |
-18.69 |
61.50 |
79.98% |
L 17-25 |
8-3 |
| 2023-11-26 |
@San Diego State |
27.53 |
20.51 |
-7.02 |
48.04 |
61.26% |
L 18-33 |
8-4 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-4 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.02% |
| 3-9 |
0.32% |
| 4-8 |
2.19% |
| 5-7 |
8.18% |
| 6-6 |
17.76% |
| 7-5 |
25.11% |
| 8-4 |
24.16% |
| 9-3 |
14.90% |
| 10-2 |
5.89% |
| 11-1 |
1.35% |
| 12-0 |
0.13% |