BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Iowa State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Iowa State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
18.18 |
23.16 (+4.98) |
25.91 |
31.20 (+5.29) |
31.20 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
359.82 |
372.22 (+12.40) |
365.36 |
392.70 (+27.33) |
392.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.95 |
5.41 (+0.46) |
6.55 |
6.86 (+0.31) |
6.86 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.18 |
11.38 (-9.80) |
22.82 |
17.69 (-5.13) |
17.69 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
282.45 |
218.00 (-64.46) |
353.91 |
313.11 (-40.80) |
313.11 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.63 |
3.79 (-0.83) |
5.15 |
4.90 (-0.25) |
4.90 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Northern Iowa |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 30-9 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Iowa |
15.85 |
11.56 |
-4.30 |
27.41 |
56.89% |
L 13-20 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Ohio |
28.20 |
11.94 |
-16.27 |
40.14 |
76.09% |
L 7-10 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Oklahoma State |
30.74 |
24.10 |
-6.64 |
54.85 |
60.65% |
W 34-27 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Oklahoma |
21.56 |
37.80 |
+16.24 |
59.37 |
23.95% |
L 20-50 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-08 |
TCU |
29.72 |
24.29 |
-5.43 |
54.01 |
58.71% |
W 27-14 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Cincinnati |
32.94 |
16.53 |
-16.41 |
49.47 |
76.32% |
W 30-10 |
4-3 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Baylor |
36.33 |
20.91 |
-15.42 |
57.25 |
74.73% |
W 30-18 |
5-3 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Kansas |
28.26 |
25.68 |
-2.58 |
53.93 |
54.14% |
L 21-28 |
5-4 |
| 2023-11-12 |
@BYU |
30.86 |
18.93 |
-11.92 |
49.79 |
69.12% |
W 45-13 |
6-4 |
| 2023-11-19 |
Texas |
15.33 |
28.44 |
+13.11 |
43.77 |
28.97% |
L 16-26 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-26 |
@Kansas State |
20.12 |
35.62 |
+15.49 |
55.74 |
25.15% |
W 42-35 |
7-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
| 2-10 |
0.10% |
| 3-9 |
0.86% |
| 4-8 |
3.67% |
| 5-7 |
10.79% |
| 6-6 |
20.09% |
| 7-5 |
25.66% |
| 8-4 |
21.97% |
| 9-3 |
12.03% |
| 10-2 |
4.04% |
| 11-1 |
0.72% |
| 12-0 |
0.06% |