BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
James Madison 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
James Madison 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
34.40 |
30.27 (-4.13) |
34.91 |
31.88 (-3.03) |
31.88 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
451.50 |
419.60 (-31.90) |
430.00 |
426.63 (-3.37) |
426.63 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.02 |
5.60 (-0.42) |
6.39 |
6.24 (-0.15) |
6.24 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
22.30 |
25.96 (+3.66) |
19.91 |
22.28 (+2.37) |
22.28 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
298.00 |
300.36 (+2.36) |
336.27 |
342.71 (+6.44) |
342.71 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.69 |
4.87 (+0.18) |
5.10 |
5.27 (+0.17) |
5.27 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Bucknell |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 38-3 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Virginia |
35.92 |
25.51 |
-10.41 |
61.43 |
66.69% |
W 36-35 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Troy |
20.43 |
20.65 |
+0.22 |
41.09 |
49.65% |
W 16-14 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-24 |
@Utah State |
46.59 |
27.39 |
-19.20 |
73.98 |
80.80% |
W 45-38 |
4-0 |
| 2023-09-30 |
South Alabama |
33.02 |
22.00 |
-11.02 |
55.02 |
67.68% |
W 31-23 |
5-0 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Georgia Southern |
45.96 |
21.86 |
-24.10 |
67.82 |
88.66% |
W 41-13 |
6-0 |
| 2023-10-19 |
@Marshall |
36.94 |
19.36 |
-17.58 |
56.30 |
78.20% |
W 20-9 |
7-0 |
| 2023-10-29 |
Old Dominion |
36.30 |
15.90 |
-20.40 |
52.21 |
82.72% |
W 30-27 |
8-0 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Georgia State |
37.58 |
19.37 |
-18.21 |
56.94 |
79.20% |
W 42-14 |
9-0 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Connecticut |
41.56 |
9.69 |
-31.86 |
51.25 |
99.90% |
W 44-6 |
10-0 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Appalachian State |
39.35 |
26.65 |
-12.69 |
66.00 |
70.36% |
L 23-26 |
10-1 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Coastal Carolina |
34.40 |
19.31 |
-15.09 |
53.71 |
74.20% |
W 56-14 |
11-1 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 11-1 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 3-9 |
0.00% |
| 4-8 |
0.04% |
| 5-7 |
0.33% |
| 6-6 |
1.76% |
| 7-5 |
6.51% |
| 8-4 |
16.08% |
| 9-3 |
26.73% |
| 10-2 |
27.61% |
| 11-1 |
16.73% |
| 12-0 |
4.19% |