BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
Mississippi State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Mississippi State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
30.55 |
37.15 (+6.61) |
19.45 |
21.16 (+1.70) |
21.16 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
390.91 |
430.31 (+39.41) |
306.36 |
315.11 (+8.75) |
315.11 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.39 |
5.98 (+0.59) |
4.95 |
5.16 (+0.21) |
5.16 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
25.73 |
19.18 (-6.54) |
28.36 |
22.42 (-5.95) |
22.42 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
368.09 |
304.42 (-63.67) |
353.55 |
324.51 (-29.04) |
324.51 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.41 |
4.54 (-0.87) |
5.43 |
4.81 (-0.62) |
4.81 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Southeastern Louisiana |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 48-7 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Arizona |
17.05 |
33.51 |
+16.46 |
50.56 |
23.60% |
W 31-24 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
LSU |
23.91 |
47.20 |
+23.29 |
71.11 |
12.64% |
L 14-41 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@South Carolina |
16.28 |
26.37 |
+10.09 |
42.66 |
33.82% |
L 30-37 |
2-2 |
| 2023-10-01 |
Alabama |
10.93 |
32.15 |
+21.22 |
43.09 |
15.96% |
L 17-40 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Western Michigan |
38.72 |
18.10 |
-20.63 |
56.82 |
83.08% |
W 41-28 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Arkansas |
20.90 |
24.08 |
+3.19 |
44.98 |
44.89% |
W 7-3 |
4-3 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Auburn |
12.17 |
25.71 |
+13.54 |
37.88 |
28.29% |
L 13-27 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Kentucky |
21.88 |
28.52 |
+6.64 |
50.40 |
39.34% |
L 3-24 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-12 |
@Texas A&M |
13.93 |
34.28 |
+20.35 |
48.21 |
17.36% |
L 10-51 |
4-6 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Southern Mississippi |
36.72 |
16.36 |
-20.36 |
53.08 |
82.66% |
W 41-20 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-24 |
Ole Miss |
17.80 |
30.31 |
+12.51 |
48.11 |
29.94% |
L 7-17 |
5-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.16% |
| 2-10 |
2.06% |
| 3-9 |
9.60% |
| 4-8 |
22.01% |
| 5-7 |
28.16% |
| 6-6 |
22.10% |
| 7-5 |
11.07% |
| 8-4 |
3.91% |
| 9-3 |
0.80% |
| 10-2 |
0.13% |
| 11-1 |
0.01% |