BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Mississippi State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Mississippi State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
30.55 |
37.15 (+6.61) |
19.45 |
21.11 (+1.65) |
21.11 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
390.91 |
430.31 (+39.41) |
306.36 |
314.88 (+8.52) |
314.88 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.39 |
5.98 (+0.59) |
4.95 |
5.16 (+0.21) |
5.16 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
25.73 |
19.18 (-6.54) |
28.36 |
22.52 (-5.84) |
22.52 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
368.09 |
304.42 (-63.67) |
353.55 |
325.29 (-28.26) |
325.29 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.41 |
4.54 (-0.87) |
5.43 |
4.83 (-0.61) |
4.83 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Southeastern Louisiana |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 48-7 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Arizona |
17.12 |
33.46 |
+16.34 |
50.58 |
23.80% |
W 31-24 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
LSU |
23.78 |
47.16 |
+23.38 |
70.94 |
12.50% |
L 14-41 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@South Carolina |
16.17 |
26.50 |
+10.33 |
42.67 |
33.44% |
L 30-37 |
2-2 |
| 2023-10-01 |
Alabama |
11.27 |
31.98 |
+20.71 |
43.24 |
16.78% |
L 17-40 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Western Michigan |
38.68 |
18.07 |
-20.60 |
56.75 |
83.04% |
W 41-28 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Arkansas |
20.89 |
24.10 |
+3.21 |
44.99 |
44.85% |
W 7-3 |
4-3 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Auburn |
12.24 |
25.87 |
+13.63 |
38.11 |
28.13% |
L 13-27 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Kentucky |
21.73 |
28.51 |
+6.78 |
50.24 |
39.12% |
L 3-24 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-12 |
@Texas A&M |
13.94 |
34.34 |
+20.40 |
48.28 |
17.28% |
L 10-51 |
4-6 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Southern Mississippi |
36.74 |
16.32 |
-20.42 |
53.07 |
82.75% |
W 41-20 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-24 |
Ole Miss |
17.74 |
30.36 |
+12.62 |
48.10 |
29.75% |
L 7-17 |
5-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.14% |
| 2-10 |
2.06% |
| 3-9 |
9.75% |
| 4-8 |
22.25% |
| 5-7 |
27.98% |
| 6-6 |
21.99% |
| 7-5 |
11.18% |
| 8-4 |
3.72% |
| 9-3 |
0.81% |
| 10-2 |
0.11% |
| 11-1 |
0.01% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |