BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
North Texas 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
North Texas 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
31.83 |
25.00 (-6.83) |
33.55 |
27.45 (-6.09) |
27.45 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
449.58 |
415.70 (-33.88) |
466.64 |
440.98 (-25.66) |
440.98 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.58 |
6.15 (-0.43) |
6.49 |
6.09 (-0.40) |
6.09 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
31.83 |
35.34 (+3.50) |
37.64 |
42.43 (+4.80) |
42.43 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
461.00 |
475.20 (+14.20) |
462.73 |
499.52 (+36.79) |
499.52 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.09 |
6.34 (+0.26) |
6.70 |
7.30 (+0.60) |
7.30 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
California |
32.70 |
55.66 |
+22.97 |
88.36 |
13.16% |
L 21-58 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Florida International |
40.49 |
28.83 |
-11.66 |
69.31 |
68.70% |
L 39-46 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Louisiana Tech |
40.38 |
36.59 |
-3.79 |
76.97 |
56.07% |
W 40-37 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Abilene Christian |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-31 |
2-2 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Navy |
27.31 |
24.30 |
-3.01 |
51.61 |
54.83% |
L 24-27 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Temple |
45.13 |
23.71 |
-21.42 |
68.84 |
84.36% |
W 45-14 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Tulane |
21.47 |
38.41 |
+16.94 |
59.88 |
22.83% |
L 28-35 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Memphis |
37.69 |
51.61 |
+13.92 |
89.30 |
27.67% |
L 42-45 |
3-5 |
| 2023-11-04 |
UT San Antonio |
32.91 |
41.18 |
+8.27 |
74.09 |
36.74% |
L 29-37 |
3-6 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@SMU |
22.88 |
55.16 |
+32.28 |
78.04 |
0.10% |
L 21-45 |
3-7 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Tulsa |
39.88 |
33.41 |
-6.47 |
73.29 |
60.38% |
W 35-28 |
4-7 |
| 2023-11-25 |
UAB |
47.32 |
39.06 |
-8.26 |
86.38 |
63.25% |
W 45-42 |
5-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.04% |
| 2-10 |
0.65% |
| 3-9 |
3.80% |
| 4-8 |
12.06% |
| 5-7 |
22.90% |
| 6-6 |
27.42% |
| 7-5 |
20.53% |
| 8-4 |
9.56% |
| 9-3 |
2.66% |
| 10-2 |
0.36% |
| 11-1 |
0.03% |