BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
North Texas 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
North Texas 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
31.83 |
25.00 (-6.83) |
33.55 |
27.57 (-5.97) |
27.57 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
449.58 |
415.70 (-33.88) |
466.64 |
441.83 (-24.81) |
441.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.58 |
6.15 (-0.43) |
6.49 |
6.11 (-0.38) |
6.11 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
31.83 |
35.34 (+3.50) |
37.64 |
42.41 (+4.78) |
42.41 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
461.00 |
475.20 (+14.20) |
462.73 |
497.92 (+35.19) |
497.92 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.09 |
6.34 (+0.26) |
6.70 |
7.29 (+0.59) |
7.29 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
California |
32.68 |
55.78 |
+23.09 |
88.46 |
12.96% |
L 21-58 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Florida International |
40.40 |
28.74 |
-11.66 |
69.14 |
68.71% |
L 39-46 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Louisiana Tech |
40.31 |
36.51 |
-3.80 |
76.82 |
56.09% |
W 40-37 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Abilene Christian |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-31 |
2-2 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Navy |
27.69 |
24.25 |
-3.44 |
51.94 |
55.52% |
L 24-27 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Temple |
45.22 |
23.76 |
-21.46 |
68.98 |
84.43% |
W 45-14 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Tulane |
21.22 |
38.26 |
+17.05 |
59.48 |
22.66% |
L 28-35 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Memphis |
37.72 |
51.79 |
+14.07 |
89.52 |
27.43% |
L 42-45 |
3-5 |
| 2023-11-04 |
UT San Antonio |
33.00 |
41.32 |
+8.32 |
74.32 |
36.66% |
L 29-37 |
3-6 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@SMU |
22.74 |
55.00 |
+32.26 |
77.74 |
0.10% |
L 21-45 |
3-7 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Tulsa |
39.92 |
33.61 |
-6.31 |
73.53 |
60.12% |
W 35-28 |
4-7 |
| 2023-11-25 |
UAB |
47.48 |
39.11 |
-8.37 |
86.60 |
63.43% |
W 45-42 |
5-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.04% |
| 2-10 |
0.62% |
| 3-9 |
3.74% |
| 4-8 |
12.23% |
| 5-7 |
22.88% |
| 6-6 |
27.61% |
| 7-5 |
20.49% |
| 8-4 |
9.48% |
| 9-3 |
2.55% |
| 10-2 |
0.34% |
| 11-1 |
0.02% |