BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023

Penn State 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.72 26.72 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 380.24 380.24 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

Penn State 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 35.83 40.38 (+4.55) 34.82 40.05 (+5.23) 40.05 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 432.42 458.68 (+26.27) 378.73 395.10 (+16.37) 395.10 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 6.06 6.41 (+0.34) 5.52 5.93 (+0.42) 5.93 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 18.00 14.36 (-3.64) 11.82 8.27 (-3.54) 8.27 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 317.92 291.99 (-25.93) 231.91 238.51 (+6.60) 238.51 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 4.54 4.13 (-0.41) 3.86 3.65 (-0.21) 3.65 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +3.1

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 West Virginia 41.18 11.65 -29.53 52.83 97.37% W 38-15 1-0
2023-09-09 Delaware Non-FBS Opponent W 63-7 2-0
2023-09-16 @Illinois 42.26 11.35 -30.91 53.62 99.58% W 30-13 3-0
2023-09-23 Iowa 23.16 4.42 -18.74 27.58 80.06% W 31-0 4-0
2023-09-30 @Northwestern 37.07 11.19 -25.88 48.27 91.51% W 41-13 5-0
2023-10-14 UMass 66.23 5.41 -60.82 71.64 99.90% W 63-0 6-0
2023-10-21 @Ohio State 14.70 17.59 +2.89 32.29 45.36% L 12-20 6-1
2023-10-28 Indiana 45.42 8.39 -37.03 53.81 99.90% W 33-24 7-1
2023-11-04 @Maryland 35.73 15.36 -20.37 51.09 82.67% W 51-15 8-1
2023-11-11 Michigan 21.94 18.28 -3.67 40.22 55.88% L 15-24 8-2
2023-11-18 Rutgers 34.70 8.37 -26.33 43.07 92.23% W 27-6 9-2
2023-11-25 @Michigan State 40.31 6.98 -33.33 47.29 99.90% W 42-0 10-2

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
10-2 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
6-6 0.01%
7-5 0.30%
8-4 2.56%
9-3 13.49%
10-2 33.23%
11-1 36.78%
12-0 13.63%

Post-Season Analysis

Big 10 Post-Season Analysis