BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Penn State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Penn State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
35.83 |
40.38 (+4.55) |
34.82 |
40.05 (+5.23) |
40.05 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
432.42 |
458.68 (+26.27) |
378.73 |
395.10 (+16.37) |
395.10 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.06 |
6.41 (+0.34) |
5.52 |
5.93 (+0.42) |
5.93 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
18.00 |
14.36 (-3.64) |
11.82 |
8.27 (-3.54) |
8.27 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
317.92 |
291.99 (-25.93) |
231.91 |
238.51 (+6.60) |
238.51 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.54 |
4.13 (-0.41) |
3.86 |
3.65 (-0.21) |
3.65 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
West Virginia |
41.18 |
11.65 |
-29.53 |
52.83 |
97.37% |
W 38-15 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Delaware |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 63-7 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Illinois |
42.26 |
11.35 |
-30.91 |
53.62 |
99.58% |
W 30-13 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Iowa |
23.16 |
4.42 |
-18.74 |
27.58 |
80.06% |
W 31-0 |
4-0 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Northwestern |
37.07 |
11.19 |
-25.88 |
48.27 |
91.51% |
W 41-13 |
5-0 |
| 2023-10-14 |
UMass |
66.23 |
5.41 |
-60.82 |
71.64 |
99.90% |
W 63-0 |
6-0 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Ohio State |
14.70 |
17.59 |
+2.89 |
32.29 |
45.36% |
L 12-20 |
6-1 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Indiana |
45.42 |
8.39 |
-37.03 |
53.81 |
99.90% |
W 33-24 |
7-1 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Maryland |
35.73 |
15.36 |
-20.37 |
51.09 |
82.67% |
W 51-15 |
8-1 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Michigan |
21.94 |
18.28 |
-3.67 |
40.22 |
55.88% |
L 15-24 |
8-2 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Rutgers |
34.70 |
8.37 |
-26.33 |
43.07 |
92.23% |
W 27-6 |
9-2 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Michigan State |
40.31 |
6.98 |
-33.33 |
47.29 |
99.90% |
W 42-0 |
10-2 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 10-2 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 6-6 |
0.01% |
| 7-5 |
0.30% |
| 8-4 |
2.56% |
| 9-3 |
13.49% |
| 10-2 |
33.23% |
| 11-1 |
36.78% |
| 12-0 |
13.63% |
Post-Season Analysis
Big 10 Post-Season Analysis