BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
San Diego State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
San Diego State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
19.82 |
15.77 (-4.05) |
19.09 |
17.79 (-1.30) |
17.79 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
306.36 |
279.90 (-26.46) |
316.00 |
313.52 (-2.48) |
313.52 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.92 |
4.48 (-0.45) |
4.98 |
4.78 (-0.20) |
4.78 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.36 |
24.61 (+3.24) |
26.64 |
29.57 (+2.93) |
29.57 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
335.18 |
372.52 (+37.34) |
404.27 |
420.86 (+16.59) |
420.86 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.17 |
5.66 (+0.49) |
6.43 |
6.78 (+0.35) |
6.78 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-08-26 |
Ohio |
17.87 |
17.64 |
-0.22 |
35.51 |
50.36% |
W 20-13 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-03 |
Idaho State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 36-28 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
UCLA |
9.89 |
26.17 |
+16.29 |
36.06 |
23.88% |
L 10-35 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Oregon State |
9.98 |
43.22 |
+33.24 |
53.21 |
0.10% |
L 9-26 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Boise State |
18.69 |
31.86 |
+13.17 |
50.55 |
28.88% |
L 31-34 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-01 |
@Air Force |
14.89 |
28.62 |
+13.72 |
43.51 |
27.99% |
L 10-49 |
2-4 |
| 2023-10-15 |
@Hawai'i |
25.79 |
22.50 |
-3.30 |
48.29 |
55.29% |
W 41-34 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-22 |
Nevada |
25.14 |
13.60 |
-11.54 |
38.74 |
68.51% |
L 0-6 |
3-5 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Utah State |
31.27 |
33.06 |
+1.79 |
64.32 |
47.13% |
L 24-32 |
3-6 |
| 2023-11-12 |
@Colorado State |
22.69 |
26.13 |
+3.43 |
48.82 |
44.49% |
L 19-22 |
3-7 |
| 2023-11-19 |
@San José State |
17.59 |
32.91 |
+15.32 |
50.50 |
25.43% |
L 13-24 |
3-8 |
| 2023-11-26 |
Fresno State |
20.51 |
27.53 |
+7.02 |
48.04 |
38.74% |
W 33-18 |
4-8 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.39% |
| 2-10 |
3.08% |
| 3-9 |
10.54% |
| 4-8 |
20.70% |
| 5-7 |
26.29% |
| 6-6 |
21.61% |
| 7-5 |
11.82% |
| 8-4 |
4.41% |
| 9-3 |
1.02% |
| 10-2 |
0.14% |
| 11-1 |
0.01% |