BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023

South Alabama 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.72 26.72 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 380.24 380.24 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

South Alabama 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 30.45 24.29 (-6.17) 30.55 26.40 (-4.14) 26.40 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 416.91 361.30 (-55.61) 398.91 378.01 (-20.90) 378.01 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.76 5.18 (-0.58) 5.99 5.60 (-0.38) 5.60 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 20.55 25.18 (+4.63) 22.36 25.29 (+2.93) 25.29 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 316.00 345.32 (+29.32) 308.55 318.11 (+9.57) 318.11 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 4.96 5.31 (+0.35) 5.06 5.25 (+0.19) 5.25 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.7

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-03 @Tulane 20.72 23.43 +2.71 44.15 45.66% L 17-37 0-1
2023-09-09 Southeastern Louisiana Non-FBS Opponent W 35-17 1-1
2023-09-16 @Oklahoma State 23.97 35.27 +11.30 59.24 31.87% W 33-7 2-1
2023-09-23 Central Michigan 40.34 16.30 -24.04 56.64 88.55% L 30-34 2-2
2023-09-30 @James Madison 22.00 33.02 +11.02 55.02 32.32% L 23-31 2-3
2023-10-07 @Louisiana Monroe 37.62 13.48 -24.14 51.09 88.72% W 55-7 3-3
2023-10-17 Southern Mississippi 43.16 18.74 -24.42 61.90 89.17% W 55-3 4-3
2023-10-28 Louisiana 37.61 24.73 -12.88 62.33 70.66% L 20-33 4-4
2023-11-02 @Troy 16.14 23.62 +7.48 39.75 38.00% L 10-28 4-5
2023-11-11 Arkansas State 37.27 20.70 -16.57 57.97 76.58% W 21-14 5-5
2023-11-18 Marshall 33.72 20.35 -13.36 54.07 71.43% W 28-0 6-5
2023-11-26 @Texas State 38.93 28.22 -10.71 67.15 67.18% L 44-52 6-6

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
6-6 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
2-10 0.00%
3-9 0.07%
4-8 0.63%
5-7 3.26%
6-6 10.42%
7-5 21.14%
8-4 27.53%
9-3 22.50%
10-2 11.26%
11-1 2.85%
12-0 0.34%