BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
South Florida 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
South Florida 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
26.73 |
27.25 (+0.52) |
30.18 |
25.09 (-5.09) |
25.09 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
386.55 |
382.24 (-4.31) |
458.27 |
432.89 (-25.39) |
432.89 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.99 |
5.98 (-0.01) |
6.03 |
5.58 (-0.45) |
5.58 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
43.09 |
40.73 (-2.36) |
35.91 |
42.06 (+6.15) |
42.06 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
525.55 |
498.16 (-27.39) |
457.91 |
514.88 (+56.97) |
514.88 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
7.64 |
7.37 (-0.27) |
6.46 |
7.13 (+0.67) |
7.13 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Western Kentucky |
31.17 |
43.60 |
+12.43 |
74.77 |
30.07% |
L 24-41 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Florida A&M |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 38-24 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Alabama |
13.19 |
54.67 |
+41.48 |
67.87 |
0.10% |
L 3-17 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Rice |
33.62 |
40.58 |
+6.96 |
74.20 |
38.83% |
W 42-29 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Navy |
25.13 |
24.13 |
-1.00 |
49.27 |
51.60% |
W 44-30 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@UAB |
41.20 |
42.28 |
+1.08 |
83.49 |
48.27% |
L 35-56 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Florida Atlantic |
31.53 |
30.31 |
-1.22 |
61.84 |
51.95% |
L 14-56 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Connecticut |
31.30 |
26.22 |
-5.08 |
57.52 |
58.15% |
W 24-21 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Memphis |
32.34 |
53.71 |
+21.38 |
86.05 |
15.72% |
L 50-59 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Temple |
41.53 |
23.53 |
-18.00 |
65.06 |
78.87% |
W 27-23 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@UT San Antonio |
27.41 |
42.76 |
+15.35 |
70.17 |
25.39% |
L 21-49 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-26 |
Charlotte |
34.19 |
22.89 |
-11.30 |
57.08 |
68.12% |
W 48-14 |
6-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.10% |
| 2-10 |
1.11% |
| 3-9 |
5.38% |
| 4-8 |
14.42% |
| 5-7 |
24.56% |
| 6-6 |
26.13% |
| 7-5 |
18.02% |
| 8-4 |
7.78% |
| 9-3 |
2.18% |
| 10-2 |
0.31% |
| 11-1 |
0.01% |