BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Utah State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Utah State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
24.73 |
22.18 (-2.55) |
30.09 |
29.54 (-0.55) |
29.54 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
369.45 |
354.75 (-14.70) |
428.27 |
423.79 (-4.48) |
423.79 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.93 |
4.59 (-0.34) |
5.94 |
5.60 (-0.33) |
5.60 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
30.18 |
36.53 (+6.35) |
34.36 |
40.25 (+5.89) |
40.25 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
396.18 |
461.04 (+64.86) |
411.36 |
461.24 (+49.87) |
461.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.81 |
6.40 (+0.59) |
5.62 |
6.15 (+0.54) |
6.15 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Iowa |
12.72 |
31.77 |
+19.05 |
44.48 |
19.44% |
L 14-24 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-10 |
Idaho State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 78-28 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Air Force |
25.92 |
38.16 |
+12.24 |
64.08 |
30.38% |
L 21-39 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-24 |
James Madison |
27.39 |
46.59 |
+19.20 |
73.98 |
19.20% |
L 38-45 |
1-3 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Connecticut |
36.45 |
25.62 |
-10.84 |
62.07 |
67.38% |
W 34-33 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-08 |
Colorado State |
38.04 |
33.21 |
-4.82 |
71.25 |
57.73% |
W 44-24 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Fresno State |
33.05 |
36.48 |
+3.42 |
69.53 |
44.51% |
L 32-37 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@San José State |
29.18 |
44.99 |
+15.82 |
74.17 |
24.63% |
L 21-42 |
3-5 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@San Diego State |
33.06 |
31.27 |
-1.79 |
64.32 |
52.87% |
W 32-24 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Nevada |
39.34 |
21.23 |
-18.11 |
60.58 |
79.05% |
W 41-24 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-19 |
Boise State |
31.14 |
43.97 |
+12.83 |
75.12 |
29.42% |
L 10-45 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-24 |
@New Mexico |
43.82 |
34.01 |
-9.81 |
77.84 |
65.73% |
W 44-41 |
6-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.07% |
| 2-10 |
0.81% |
| 3-9 |
4.25% |
| 4-8 |
12.25% |
| 5-7 |
22.59% |
| 6-6 |
26.15% |
| 7-5 |
19.81% |
| 8-4 |
9.93% |
| 9-3 |
3.40% |
| 10-2 |
0.68% |
| 11-1 |
0.07% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |