BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Western Kentucky 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Western Kentucky 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
35.67 |
29.39 (-6.28) |
27.82 |
25.72 (-2.10) |
25.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
491.67 |
457.53 (-34.13) |
392.73 |
364.58 (-28.15) |
364.58 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.83 |
6.44 (-0.38) |
5.60 |
5.45 (-0.16) |
5.45 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
23.17 |
28.49 (+5.32) |
28.73 |
32.95 (+4.22) |
32.95 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
385.92 |
411.78 (+25.86) |
432.00 |
460.26 (+28.26) |
460.26 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.33 |
5.66 (+0.32) |
5.73 |
5.86 (+0.13) |
5.86 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
South Florida |
43.60 |
31.17 |
-12.43 |
74.77 |
69.93% |
W 41-24 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Houston Christian |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 52-22 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Ohio State |
5.57 |
48.66 |
+43.09 |
54.23 |
0.10% |
L 10-63 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Troy |
15.67 |
30.88 |
+15.21 |
46.54 |
25.61% |
L 24-27 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-28 |
Middle Tennessee |
33.97 |
26.75 |
-7.22 |
60.72 |
61.57% |
W 31-10 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-06 |
@Louisiana Tech |
38.02 |
28.65 |
-9.37 |
66.67 |
65.03% |
W 35-28 |
4-2 |
| 2023-10-17 |
@Jacksonville State |
26.78 |
29.31 |
+2.53 |
56.09 |
45.94% |
L 17-20 |
4-3 |
| 2023-10-24 |
Liberty |
30.77 |
42.30 |
+11.52 |
73.07 |
31.52% |
L 29-42 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-05 |
@UTEP |
30.87 |
23.21 |
-7.67 |
54.08 |
62.30% |
W 21-13 |
5-4 |
| 2023-11-11 |
New Mexico State |
26.25 |
24.98 |
-1.27 |
51.23 |
52.04% |
L 29-38 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Sam Houston State |
32.79 |
19.85 |
-12.93 |
52.64 |
70.74% |
W 28-23 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Florida International |
37.92 |
21.32 |
-16.60 |
59.24 |
76.62% |
W 41-28 |
7-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.02% |
| 2-10 |
0.23% |
| 3-9 |
1.48% |
| 4-8 |
5.96% |
| 5-7 |
14.90% |
| 6-6 |
24.01% |
| 7-5 |
25.59% |
| 8-4 |
17.93% |
| 9-3 |
7.86% |
| 10-2 |
1.85% |
| 11-1 |
0.17% |