BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 00:00 on Sunday, November 13, 2022

Toledo 2022 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2021 Raw 2022 Raw 2022 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.47 26.77 26.77 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 391.09 370.52 370.52 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.63 5.63 (+0.00)

Toledo 2022 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2021 Raw 2021 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 32.82 25.65 (-7.16) 34.89 31.85 (-3.04) 31.85 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 433.91 377.48 (-56.43) 399.56 386.58 (-12.97) 386.58 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 6.57 5.65 (-0.92) 5.91 5.65 (-0.26) 5.65 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2021 Raw 2021 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2022 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 22.00 27.39 (+5.39) 29.22 34.67 (+5.45) 34.67 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 348.73 393.21 (+44.48) 366.11 425.53 (+59.42) 425.53 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 4.79 5.41 (+0.63) 4.96 6.04 (+1.08) 6.04 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.9

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2022-09-01 Long Island University Non-FBS Opponent W 37-0 1-0
2022-09-10 UMass 49.91 11.46 +38.45 61.37 99.90% W 55-10 2-0
2022-09-17 @Ohio State 16.99 66.33 -49.33 83.32 0.10% L 21-77 2-1
2022-09-24 @San Diego State 27.03 16.12 +10.91 43.15 67.50% L 14-17 2-2
2022-10-01 Central Michigan 41.25 28.05 +13.20 69.31 71.16% W 38-17 3-2
2022-10-08 @Northern Illinois 42.69 33.10 +9.59 75.79 65.39% W 52-32 4-2
2022-10-15 Kent State 38.32 29.47 +8.85 67.80 64.20% W 52-31 5-2
2022-10-22 @Buffalo 37.07 34.92 +2.15 71.99 53.44% L 27-34 5-3
2022-10-29 @Eastern Michigan 43.13 25.98 +17.15 69.11 77.51% W 27-24 6-3
2022-11-09 Ball State 39.63 23.57 +16.07 63.20 75.77% W 28-21 7-3
2022-11-16 Bowling Green 44.39 22.96 +21.43 67.35 84.37% n/a n/a
2022-11-25 @Western Michigan 38.75 20.87 +17.88 59.62 78.67% n/a n/a

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
7-5 3.31% 0.00% 100.00%
8-4 30.14% 3.31% 96.69%
9-3 66.55% 33.45% 66.55%