BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023

Michigan State 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.72 26.72 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 380.24 380.24 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

Michigan State 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 24.42 29.90 (+5.48) 13.27 20.66 (+7.39) 20.66 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 353.00 403.26 (+50.26) 272.18 306.66 (+34.48) 306.66 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.43 6.09 (+0.66) 4.27 4.96 (+0.69) 4.96 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 27.42 23.60 (-3.82) 29.64 26.69 (-2.95) 26.69 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 416.83 405.02 (-11.81) 408.09 430.59 (+22.50) 430.59 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.77 5.61 (-0.16) 5.93 5.86 (-0.07) 5.86 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +1.9

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-01 Central Michigan 32.60 17.12 -15.48 49.71 74.83% W 31-7 1-0
2023-09-09 Richmond Non-FBS Opponent W 45-14 2-0
2023-09-16 Washington 14.51 41.62 +27.11 56.14 6.52% L 7-41 2-1
2023-09-23 Maryland 19.75 34.78 +15.03 54.54 25.89% L 9-31 2-2
2023-09-30 @Iowa 7.01 21.24 +14.23 28.24 27.18% L 16-26 2-3
2023-10-14 @Rutgers 14.92 28.15 +13.23 43.06 28.78% L 24-27 2-4
2023-10-21 Michigan 6.90 42.76 +35.86 49.66 0.10% L 0-49 2-5
2023-10-28 @Minnesota 20.64 27.30 +6.66 47.94 39.31% L 12-27 2-6
2023-11-04 Nebraska 14.24 18.81 +4.57 33.05 42.67% W 20-17 3-6
2023-11-12 @Ohio State 3.07 40.83 +37.75 43.90 0.10% L 3-38 3-7
2023-11-18 @Indiana 22.86 28.58 +5.72 51.44 40.82% W 24-21 4-7
2023-11-25 Penn State 6.98 40.31 +33.33 47.29 0.10% L 0-42 4-8

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
4-8 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-11 1.88%
2-10 11.60%
3-9 26.41%
4-8 30.48%
5-7 20.04%
6-6 7.71%
7-5 1.69%
8-4 0.19%
9-3 0.00%

Post-Season Analysis

Big 10 Post-Season Analysis