BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023

Nevada 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.72 26.72 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 380.24 380.24 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

Nevada 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 16.82 14.12 (-2.70) 18.36 11.87 (-6.49) 11.87 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 288.73 272.44 (-16.28) 295.64 249.66 (-45.98) 249.66 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 4.38 4.06 (-0.32) 4.53 3.85 (-0.69) 3.85 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 28.73 36.83 (+8.10) 33.45 33.27 (-0.18) 33.27 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 374.64 452.81 (+78.18) 430.00 428.15 (-1.85) 428.15 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.49 6.32 (+0.84) 6.96 7.00 (+0.04) 7.00 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.7

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 @USC 14.71 59.29 +44.58 73.99 0.10% L 14-66 0-1
2023-09-09 Idaho Non-FBS Opponent L 6-33 0-2
2023-09-17 Kansas 11.26 43.80 +32.54 55.06 0.10% L 24-31 0-3
2023-09-23 @Texas State 20.70 36.20 +15.50 56.90 25.14% L 24-35 0-4
2023-10-01 @Fresno State 12.39 33.68 +21.29 46.07 15.85% L 9-27 0-5
2023-10-14 UNLV 17.08 40.82 +23.75 57.90 11.91% L 27-45 0-6
2023-10-22 @San Diego State 13.60 25.14 +11.54 38.74 31.49% W 6-0 1-6
2023-10-29 New Mexico 23.76 26.27 +2.51 50.03 45.98% W 34-24 2-6
2023-11-04 Hawai'i 21.25 23.60 +2.35 44.85 46.23% L 14-27 2-7
2023-11-11 @Utah State 21.23 39.34 +18.11 60.58 20.95% L 24-41 2-8
2023-11-18 @Colorado State 15.89 29.47 +13.58 45.36 28.22% L 20-30 2-9
2023-11-26 Wyoming 12.80 30.02 +17.23 42.82 22.37% L 6-42 2-10

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
2-10 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
0-12 0.00%
1-11 4.91%
2-10 18.28%
3-9 29.61%
4-8 26.32%
5-7 14.46%
6-6 5.09%
7-5 1.16%
8-4 0.15%
9-3 0.01%
10-2 0.00%