BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Nevada 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Nevada 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
16.82 |
14.12 (-2.70) |
18.36 |
11.87 (-6.49) |
11.87 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
288.73 |
272.44 (-16.28) |
295.64 |
249.66 (-45.98) |
249.66 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.38 |
4.06 (-0.32) |
4.53 |
3.85 (-0.69) |
3.85 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.73 |
36.83 (+8.10) |
33.45 |
33.27 (-0.18) |
33.27 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
374.64 |
452.81 (+78.18) |
430.00 |
428.15 (-1.85) |
428.15 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.49 |
6.32 (+0.84) |
6.96 |
7.00 (+0.04) |
7.00 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@USC |
14.71 |
59.29 |
+44.58 |
73.99 |
0.10% |
L 14-66 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Idaho |
Non-FBS Opponent |
L 6-33 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-17 |
Kansas |
11.26 |
43.80 |
+32.54 |
55.06 |
0.10% |
L 24-31 |
0-3 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Texas State |
20.70 |
36.20 |
+15.50 |
56.90 |
25.14% |
L 24-35 |
0-4 |
| 2023-10-01 |
@Fresno State |
12.39 |
33.68 |
+21.29 |
46.07 |
15.85% |
L 9-27 |
0-5 |
| 2023-10-14 |
UNLV |
17.08 |
40.82 |
+23.75 |
57.90 |
11.91% |
L 27-45 |
0-6 |
| 2023-10-22 |
@San Diego State |
13.60 |
25.14 |
+11.54 |
38.74 |
31.49% |
W 6-0 |
1-6 |
| 2023-10-29 |
New Mexico |
23.76 |
26.27 |
+2.51 |
50.03 |
45.98% |
W 34-24 |
2-6 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Hawai'i |
21.25 |
23.60 |
+2.35 |
44.85 |
46.23% |
L 14-27 |
2-7 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Utah State |
21.23 |
39.34 |
+18.11 |
60.58 |
20.95% |
L 24-41 |
2-8 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Colorado State |
15.89 |
29.47 |
+13.58 |
45.36 |
28.22% |
L 20-30 |
2-9 |
| 2023-11-26 |
Wyoming |
12.80 |
30.02 |
+17.23 |
42.82 |
22.37% |
L 6-42 |
2-10 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 2-10 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
4.91% |
| 2-10 |
18.28% |
| 3-9 |
29.61% |
| 4-8 |
26.32% |
| 5-7 |
14.46% |
| 6-6 |
5.09% |
| 7-5 |
1.16% |
| 8-4 |
0.15% |
| 9-3 |
0.01% |
| 10-2 |
0.00% |