BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:01 on Sunday, December 1, 2024
Navy 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.77 |
26.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.83 |
377.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Navy 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
17.09 |
11.85 (-5.24) |
30.60 |
30.13 (-0.47) |
30.13 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
274.64 |
231.50 (-43.14) |
368.50 |
363.93 (-4.57) |
363.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.71 |
4.07 (-0.64) |
6.30 |
6.34 (+0.04) |
6.34 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.45 |
21.75 (-2.71) |
23.40 |
21.89 (-1.51) |
21.89 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
337.73 |
351.40 (+13.67) |
379.90 |
375.47 (-4.43) |
375.47 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.76 |
6.17 (+0.41) |
5.61 |
5.60 (-0.01) |
5.60 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Bucknell |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 49-21 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Temple |
40.11 |
12.43 |
-27.68 |
52.54 |
94.39% |
W 38-11 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Memphis |
31.69 |
27.17 |
-4.52 |
58.85 |
57.24% |
W 56-44 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@UAB |
40.58 |
23.25 |
-17.33 |
63.82 |
77.79% |
W 41-18 |
4-0 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Air Force |
28.35 |
16.00 |
-12.35 |
44.35 |
69.81% |
W 34-7 |
5-0 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Charlotte |
39.12 |
17.83 |
-21.29 |
56.95 |
84.15% |
W 51-17 |
6-0 |
| 2024-10-26 |
Notre Dame |
20.01 |
37.77 |
+17.76 |
57.78 |
21.51% |
L 14-51 |
6-1 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Rice |
31.07 |
18.32 |
-12.75 |
49.40 |
70.45% |
L 10-24 |
6-2 |
| 2024-11-09 |
@South Florida |
34.20 |
25.04 |
-9.16 |
59.23 |
64.69% |
W 28-7 |
7-2 |
| 2024-11-16 |
Tulane |
24.68 |
31.96 |
+7.28 |
56.64 |
38.32% |
L 0-35 |
7-3 |
| 2024-11-29 |
@East Carolina |
34.15 |
25.90 |
-8.25 |
60.05 |
63.23% |
W 34-20 |
8-3 |
| 2024-12-14 |
@Army |
17.37 |
24.45 |
+7.08 |
41.82 |
38.65% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-4 |
61.33% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 9-3 |
38.67% |
61.33% |
38.67% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.01% |
| 3-9 |
0.14% |
| 4-8 |
1.10% |
| 5-7 |
4.65% |
| 6-6 |
12.46% |
| 7-5 |
22.60% |
| 8-4 |
26.86% |
| 9-3 |
20.39% |
| 10-2 |
9.28% |
| 11-1 |
2.28% |
| 12-0 |
0.23% |