BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Air Force 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Air Force 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
25.82 |
21.36 (-4.46) |
26.27 |
22.82 (-3.45) |
22.82 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
372.73 |
342.69 (-30.04) |
352.91 |
325.13 (-27.78) |
325.13 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.46 |
4.95 (-0.52) |
5.65 |
5.12 (-0.53) |
5.12 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
12.91 |
21.36 (+8.46) |
18.91 |
23.19 (+4.28) |
23.19 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
241.09 |
322.28 (+81.19) |
287.91 |
327.01 (+39.10) |
327.01 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.79 |
5.88 (+1.09) |
5.01 |
5.49 (+0.47) |
5.49 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Robert Morris |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 42-7 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-10 |
@Sam Houston State |
26.85 |
12.54 |
-14.31 |
39.39 |
72.95% |
W 13-3 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Utah State |
38.16 |
25.92 |
-12.24 |
64.08 |
69.62% |
W 39-21 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@San José State |
22.54 |
26.75 |
+4.21 |
49.29 |
43.25% |
W 45-20 |
4-0 |
| 2023-10-01 |
San Diego State |
28.62 |
14.89 |
-13.72 |
43.51 |
72.01% |
W 49-10 |
5-0 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Wyoming |
23.33 |
20.40 |
-2.93 |
43.74 |
54.69% |
W 34-27 |
6-0 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@Navy |
23.01 |
11.37 |
-11.64 |
34.38 |
68.68% |
W 17-6 |
7-0 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Colorado State |
28.21 |
20.54 |
-7.67 |
48.74 |
62.30% |
W 30-13 |
8-0 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Army |
25.94 |
11.14 |
-14.80 |
37.08 |
73.74% |
L 3-23 |
8-1 |
| 2023-11-12 |
@Hawai'i |
31.86 |
17.50 |
-14.36 |
49.36 |
73.02% |
L 13-27 |
8-2 |
| 2023-11-18 |
UNLV |
29.35 |
29.31 |
-0.03 |
58.66 |
50.05% |
L 27-31 |
8-3 |
| 2023-11-24 |
@Boise State |
21.79 |
27.68 |
+5.89 |
49.48 |
40.55% |
L 19-27 |
8-4 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-4 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.04% |
| 3-9 |
0.28% |
| 4-8 |
1.50% |
| 5-7 |
5.30% |
| 6-6 |
12.88% |
| 7-5 |
21.68% |
| 8-4 |
25.01% |
| 9-3 |
19.68% |
| 10-2 |
10.16% |
| 11-1 |
3.09% |
| 12-0 |
0.38% |