BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Navy 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Navy 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
23.27 |
22.83 (-0.44) |
17.70 |
10.70 (-7.00) |
10.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
327.73 |
320.50 (-7.23) |
271.20 |
223.89 (-47.31) |
223.89 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.74 |
4.46 (-0.28) |
4.70 |
4.08 (-0.62) |
4.08 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
25.27 |
23.36 (-1.91) |
25.20 |
26.81 (+1.61) |
26.81 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
351.55 |
333.63 (-17.91) |
345.50 |
351.29 (+5.79) |
351.29 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.09 |
6.12 (+0.03) |
5.90 |
6.23 (+0.32) |
6.23 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-08-26 |
@Notre Dame |
4.42 |
45.62 |
+41.21 |
50.04 |
0.10% |
L 3-42 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Wagner |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 24-0 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-14 |
@Memphis |
15.37 |
37.06 |
+21.69 |
52.43 |
15.20% |
L 24-28 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
South Florida |
24.13 |
25.13 |
+1.00 |
49.27 |
48.40% |
L 30-44 |
1-3 |
| 2023-10-07 |
North Texas |
24.30 |
27.31 |
+3.01 |
51.61 |
45.17% |
W 27-24 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Charlotte |
15.33 |
13.87 |
-1.46 |
29.20 |
52.34% |
W 14-0 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Air Force |
11.37 |
23.01 |
+11.64 |
34.38 |
31.32% |
L 6-17 |
3-4 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Temple |
20.69 |
15.09 |
-5.60 |
35.77 |
58.98% |
L 18-32 |
3-5 |
| 2023-11-11 |
UAB |
25.33 |
23.88 |
-1.46 |
49.21 |
52.34% |
W 31-6 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
East Carolina |
13.80 |
12.71 |
-1.09 |
26.51 |
51.74% |
W 10-0 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@SMU |
7.99 |
38.02 |
+30.03 |
46.01 |
1.84% |
L 14-59 |
5-6 |
| 2023-12-09 |
@Army |
9.98 |
15.83 |
+5.85 |
25.81 |
40.62% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
59.41% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
40.60% |
59.41% |
40.59% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.43% |
| 2-10 |
3.35% |
| 3-9 |
11.67% |
| 4-8 |
22.31% |
| 5-7 |
26.65% |
| 6-6 |
21.07% |
| 7-5 |
10.63% |
| 8-4 |
3.28% |
| 9-3 |
0.56% |
| 10-2 |
0.05% |