BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023

California 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.72 26.72 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 380.24 380.24 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

California 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 23.00 22.99 (-0.01) 31.64 37.17 (+5.53) 37.17 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 360.00 353.76 (-6.24) 398.36 440.71 (+42.34) 440.71 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.52 5.41 (-0.11) 5.45 5.91 (+0.46) 5.91 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 29.18 23.91 (-5.27) 34.09 28.70 (-5.39) 28.70 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 433.18 394.55 (-38.63) 412.45 354.51 (-57.94) 354.51 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.90 5.38 (-0.52) 5.83 5.09 (-0.74) 5.09 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.6

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 @North Texas 55.66 32.70 -22.97 88.36 86.84% W 58-21 1-0
2023-09-10 Auburn 28.78 29.19 +0.40 57.97 49.35% L 10-14 1-1
2023-09-16 Idaho Non-FBS Opponent W 31-17 2-1
2023-09-24 @Washington 26.35 47.47 +21.13 73.82 16.11% L 32-59 2-2
2023-09-30 Arizona State 36.81 23.01 -13.80 59.81 72.14% W 24-21 3-2
2023-10-08 Oregon State 28.49 40.26 +11.76 68.75 31.13% L 40-52 3-3
2023-10-14 @Utah 19.86 32.55 +12.69 52.41 29.64% L 14-34 3-4
2023-10-28 USC 44.16 51.78 +7.62 95.94 37.78% L 49-50 3-5
2023-11-04 @Oregon 18.10 51.16 +33.06 69.25 0.10% L 19-63 3-6
2023-11-11 Washington State 35.94 35.45 -0.49 71.38 50.79% W 42-39 4-6
2023-11-18 @Stanford 39.73 27.63 -12.10 67.36 69.41% W 27-15 5-6
2023-11-26 @UCLA 21.79 28.21 +6.42 50.00 39.70% W 33-7 6-6

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
6-6 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-11 0.04%
2-10 0.73%
3-9 4.02%
4-8 12.79%
5-7 23.53%
6-6 27.27%
7-5 19.57%
8-4 9.18%
9-3 2.46%
10-2 0.38%
11-1 0.03%