BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
California 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
California 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
23.00 |
22.99 (-0.01) |
31.64 |
37.17 (+5.53) |
37.17 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
360.00 |
353.76 (-6.24) |
398.36 |
440.71 (+42.34) |
440.71 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.52 |
5.41 (-0.11) |
5.45 |
5.91 (+0.46) |
5.91 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.18 |
23.91 (-5.27) |
34.09 |
28.70 (-5.39) |
28.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
433.18 |
394.55 (-38.63) |
412.45 |
354.51 (-57.94) |
354.51 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.90 |
5.38 (-0.52) |
5.83 |
5.09 (-0.74) |
5.09 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@North Texas |
55.66 |
32.70 |
-22.97 |
88.36 |
86.84% |
W 58-21 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-10 |
Auburn |
28.78 |
29.19 |
+0.40 |
57.97 |
49.35% |
L 10-14 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Idaho |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 31-17 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-24 |
@Washington |
26.35 |
47.47 |
+21.13 |
73.82 |
16.11% |
L 32-59 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Arizona State |
36.81 |
23.01 |
-13.80 |
59.81 |
72.14% |
W 24-21 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-08 |
Oregon State |
28.49 |
40.26 |
+11.76 |
68.75 |
31.13% |
L 40-52 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@Utah |
19.86 |
32.55 |
+12.69 |
52.41 |
29.64% |
L 14-34 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-28 |
USC |
44.16 |
51.78 |
+7.62 |
95.94 |
37.78% |
L 49-50 |
3-5 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Oregon |
18.10 |
51.16 |
+33.06 |
69.25 |
0.10% |
L 19-63 |
3-6 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Washington State |
35.94 |
35.45 |
-0.49 |
71.38 |
50.79% |
W 42-39 |
4-6 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Stanford |
39.73 |
27.63 |
-12.10 |
67.36 |
69.41% |
W 27-15 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-26 |
@UCLA |
21.79 |
28.21 |
+6.42 |
50.00 |
39.70% |
W 33-7 |
6-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.04% |
| 2-10 |
0.73% |
| 3-9 |
4.02% |
| 4-8 |
12.79% |
| 5-7 |
23.53% |
| 6-6 |
27.27% |
| 7-5 |
19.57% |
| 8-4 |
9.18% |
| 9-3 |
2.46% |
| 10-2 |
0.38% |
| 11-1 |
0.03% |