BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023

Auburn 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.72 26.72 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 380.24 380.24 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

Auburn 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 23.18 31.39 (+8.20) 25.64 27.49 (+1.85) 27.49 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 367.73 424.53 (+56.80) 322.55 334.78 (+12.24) 334.78 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.51 6.39 (+0.88) 5.33 5.58 (+0.24) 5.58 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 30.73 22.59 (-8.14) 22.73 16.77 (-5.96) 16.77 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 406.55 338.06 (-68.49) 374.09 345.51 (-28.58) 345.51 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.68 4.81 (-0.87) 5.88 5.25 (-0.63) 5.25 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.8

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 UMass 49.28 12.58 -36.70 61.85 99.90% W 59-14 1-0
2023-09-10 @California 29.19 28.78 -0.40 57.97 50.65% W 14-10 2-0
2023-09-16 Samford Non-FBS Opponent W 45-13 3-0
2023-09-23 @Texas A&M 19.09 28.55 +9.45 47.64 34.84% L 10-27 3-1
2023-09-30 Georgia 16.61 28.23 +11.62 44.83 31.36% L 20-27 3-2
2023-10-14 @LSU 27.31 39.49 +12.17 66.80 30.48% L 18-48 3-3
2023-10-21 Ole Miss 23.15 23.26 +0.11 46.40 49.82% L 21-28 3-4
2023-10-28 Mississippi State 25.87 12.24 -13.63 38.11 71.87% W 27-13 4-4
2023-11-04 @Vanderbilt 35.47 16.40 -19.07 51.87 80.59% W 31-15 5-4
2023-11-11 @Arkansas 27.17 19.82 -7.35 46.98 61.79% W 48-10 6-4
2023-11-18 New Mexico State 28.01 8.60 -19.41 36.61 81.14% L 10-31 6-5
2023-11-25 Alabama 15.57 25.16 +9.59 40.73 34.61% L 24-27 6-6

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
6-6 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
2-10 0.02%
3-9 0.34%
4-8 2.25%
5-7 8.35%
6-6 18.86%
7-5 26.71%
8-4 23.86%
9-3 13.62%
10-2 4.90%
11-1 1.01%
12-0 0.09%