BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Auburn 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Auburn 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
23.18 |
31.39 (+8.20) |
25.64 |
27.49 (+1.85) |
27.49 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
367.73 |
424.53 (+56.80) |
322.55 |
334.78 (+12.24) |
334.78 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.51 |
6.39 (+0.88) |
5.33 |
5.58 (+0.24) |
5.58 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
30.73 |
22.59 (-8.14) |
22.73 |
16.77 (-5.96) |
16.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
406.55 |
338.06 (-68.49) |
374.09 |
345.51 (-28.58) |
345.51 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.68 |
4.81 (-0.87) |
5.88 |
5.25 (-0.63) |
5.25 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
UMass |
49.28 |
12.58 |
-36.70 |
61.85 |
99.90% |
W 59-14 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-10 |
@California |
29.19 |
28.78 |
-0.40 |
57.97 |
50.65% |
W 14-10 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Samford |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-13 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Texas A&M |
19.09 |
28.55 |
+9.45 |
47.64 |
34.84% |
L 10-27 |
3-1 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Georgia |
16.61 |
28.23 |
+11.62 |
44.83 |
31.36% |
L 20-27 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-14 |
@LSU |
27.31 |
39.49 |
+12.17 |
66.80 |
30.48% |
L 18-48 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Ole Miss |
23.15 |
23.26 |
+0.11 |
46.40 |
49.82% |
L 21-28 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Mississippi State |
25.87 |
12.24 |
-13.63 |
38.11 |
71.87% |
W 27-13 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Vanderbilt |
35.47 |
16.40 |
-19.07 |
51.87 |
80.59% |
W 31-15 |
5-4 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Arkansas |
27.17 |
19.82 |
-7.35 |
46.98 |
61.79% |
W 48-10 |
6-4 |
| 2023-11-18 |
New Mexico State |
28.01 |
8.60 |
-19.41 |
36.61 |
81.14% |
L 10-31 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Alabama |
15.57 |
25.16 |
+9.59 |
40.73 |
34.61% |
L 24-27 |
6-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.02% |
| 3-9 |
0.34% |
| 4-8 |
2.25% |
| 5-7 |
8.35% |
| 6-6 |
18.86% |
| 7-5 |
26.71% |
| 8-4 |
23.86% |
| 9-3 |
13.62% |
| 10-2 |
4.90% |
| 11-1 |
1.01% |
| 12-0 |
0.09% |