BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Colorado State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Colorado State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
13.45 |
9.94 (-3.51) |
24.73 |
21.07 (-3.66) |
21.07 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
288.73 |
260.67 (-28.06) |
375.91 |
354.65 (-21.26) |
354.65 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.82 |
4.44 (-0.37) |
5.50 |
5.09 (-0.40) |
5.09 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
25.64 |
30.65 (+5.01) |
30.45 |
32.61 (+2.15) |
32.61 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
351.73 |
401.45 (+49.72) |
414.64 |
440.74 (+26.11) |
440.74 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.14 |
5.79 (+0.65) |
5.69 |
6.03 (+0.34) |
6.03 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Washington State |
21.05 |
40.01 |
+18.96 |
61.06 |
19.59% |
L 24-50 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-17 |
@Colorado |
24.95 |
42.80 |
+17.85 |
67.74 |
21.37% |
L 35-43 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Middle Tennessee |
26.18 |
29.94 |
+3.76 |
56.13 |
43.98% |
W 31-23 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Utah Tech |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 41-20 |
2-2 |
| 2023-10-08 |
@Utah State |
33.21 |
38.04 |
+4.82 |
71.25 |
42.27% |
L 24-44 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-15 |
Boise State |
22.49 |
35.61 |
+13.12 |
58.11 |
28.96% |
W 31-30 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
@UNLV |
24.39 |
41.44 |
+17.05 |
65.83 |
22.65% |
L 23-25 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Air Force |
20.54 |
28.21 |
+7.67 |
48.74 |
37.70% |
L 13-30 |
3-5 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Wyoming |
18.68 |
31.95 |
+13.27 |
50.63 |
28.71% |
L 15-24 |
3-6 |
| 2023-11-12 |
San Diego State |
26.13 |
22.69 |
-3.43 |
48.82 |
55.51% |
W 22-19 |
4-6 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Nevada |
29.47 |
15.89 |
-13.58 |
45.36 |
71.78% |
W 30-20 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-26 |
@Hawai'i |
29.73 |
25.52 |
-4.21 |
55.25 |
56.76% |
L 24-27 |
5-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.26% |
| 2-10 |
2.46% |
| 3-9 |
9.13% |
| 4-8 |
18.99% |
| 5-7 |
25.59% |
| 6-6 |
22.44% |
| 7-5 |
13.61% |
| 8-4 |
5.62% |
| 9-3 |
1.60% |
| 10-2 |
0.24% |
| 11-1 |
0.03% |