BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Northern Illinois 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Northern Illinois 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
26.64 |
22.10 (-4.54) |
26.55 |
19.43 (-7.12) |
19.43 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
372.55 |
345.47 (-27.08) |
351.00 |
305.21 (-45.79) |
305.21 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.53 |
5.09 (-0.44) |
6.14 |
5.47 (-0.67) |
5.47 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
33.27 |
40.60 (+7.33) |
21.82 |
32.18 (+10.37) |
32.18 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
391.55 |
451.52 (+59.98) |
309.64 |
390.17 (+80.54) |
390.17 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.81 |
6.65 (+0.84) |
5.15 |
6.26 (+1.11) |
6.26 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Boston College |
23.01 |
33.97 |
+10.96 |
56.98 |
32.42% |
W 27-24 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Southern Illinois |
Non-FBS Opponent |
L 11-14 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Nebraska |
11.34 |
25.22 |
+13.88 |
36.56 |
27.74% |
L 11-35 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Tulsa |
30.85 |
23.56 |
-7.29 |
54.40 |
61.70% |
L 14-22 |
1-3 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Toledo |
22.19 |
34.08 |
+11.89 |
56.26 |
30.93% |
L 33-35 |
1-4 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Akron |
29.52 |
12.97 |
-16.54 |
42.49 |
76.54% |
W 55-14 |
2-4 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Ohio |
18.01 |
20.00 |
+1.99 |
38.01 |
46.80% |
W 23-13 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Eastern Michigan |
25.69 |
12.58 |
-13.11 |
38.28 |
71.02% |
W 20-13 |
4-4 |
| 2023-10-31 |
@Central Michigan |
28.85 |
23.61 |
-5.23 |
52.46 |
58.39% |
L 31-37 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-08 |
Ball State |
24.51 |
13.09 |
-11.42 |
37.61 |
68.32% |
L 17-20 |
4-6 |
| 2023-11-15 |
Western Michigan |
34.74 |
27.17 |
-7.57 |
61.90 |
62.14% |
W 24-0 |
5-6 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Kent State |
37.32 |
13.95 |
-23.37 |
51.27 |
87.49% |
W 37-27 |
6-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.06% |
| 3-9 |
0.54% |
| 4-8 |
2.87% |
| 5-7 |
9.26% |
| 6-6 |
18.55% |
| 7-5 |
25.52% |
| 8-4 |
23.18% |
| 9-3 |
13.75% |
| 10-2 |
5.14% |
| 11-1 |
1.02% |
| 12-0 |
0.10% |