BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:01 on Sunday, December 1, 2024
App State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.77 |
26.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.83 |
377.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
App State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
33.92 |
33.92 (+0.00) |
23.18 |
22.08 (-1.11) |
22.08 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
348.09 |
323.34 (-24.75) |
323.34 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
5.68 |
5.59 (-0.09) |
5.59 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.75 |
28.75 (+0.00) |
32.00 |
28.85 (-3.15) |
28.85 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
320.64 |
300.97 (-19.67) |
300.97 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
0.00 |
0.00 (+0.00) |
5.61 |
5.30 (-0.31) |
5.30 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +0.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
East Tennessee State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 38-10 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 |
@Clemson |
17.88 |
40.65 |
+22.77 |
58.53 |
13.47% |
L 20-66 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@East Carolina |
25.61 |
33.51 |
+7.90 |
59.12 |
37.34% |
W 21-19 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-19 |
South Alabama |
21.15 |
31.11 |
+9.96 |
52.26 |
34.02% |
L 14-48 |
2-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Liberty |
19.78 |
23.21 |
+3.43 |
42.99 |
44.50% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Marshall |
22.08 |
33.80 |
+11.73 |
55.88 |
31.19% |
L 37-52 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Louisiana |
20.43 |
38.24 |
+17.81 |
58.67 |
21.44% |
L 24-34 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-26 |
Georgia State |
28.54 |
25.75 |
-2.79 |
54.30 |
54.47% |
W 33-26 |
3-4 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Old Dominion |
21.06 |
30.28 |
+9.23 |
51.34 |
35.20% |
W 28-20 |
4-4 |
| 2024-11-08 |
@Coastal Carolina |
26.06 |
31.38 |
+5.32 |
57.44 |
41.46% |
L 24-38 |
4-5 |
| 2024-11-23 |
James Madison |
19.50 |
33.23 |
+13.73 |
52.73 |
27.97% |
W 34-20 |
5-5 |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Georgia Southern |
21.13 |
31.85 |
+10.73 |
52.98 |
32.79% |
L 20-29 |
5-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 5-7 |
55.42% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 6-6 |
44.58% |
55.42% |
44.58% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.95% |
| 2-10 |
5.54% |
| 3-9 |
14.89% |
| 4-8 |
23.82% |
| 5-7 |
24.66% |
| 6-6 |
17.53% |
| 7-5 |
8.75% |
| 8-4 |
3.01% |
| 9-3 |
0.72% |
| 10-2 |
0.11% |
| 11-1 |
0.01% |