BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:01 on Sunday, December 1, 2024
Liberty 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.77 |
26.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.83 |
377.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Liberty 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
40.77 |
45.34 (+4.57) |
27.00 |
21.16 (-5.84) |
21.16 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
512.23 |
477.38 (-34.85) |
386.73 |
356.05 (-30.68) |
356.05 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
7.44 |
7.16 (-0.29) |
5.61 |
5.29 (-0.31) |
5.29 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
22.69 |
27.76 (+5.07) |
21.09 |
24.29 (+3.20) |
24.29 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
352.08 |
413.40 (+61.33) |
318.91 |
362.12 (+43.22) |
362.12 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.59 |
6.17 (+0.58) |
4.90 |
5.50 (+0.60) |
5.50 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Campbell |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 41-24 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 |
@New Mexico State |
33.60 |
19.36 |
-14.25 |
52.96 |
72.85% |
W 30-24 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
UTEP |
33.95 |
16.14 |
-17.81 |
50.09 |
78.56% |
W 28-10 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
East Carolina |
28.03 |
26.22 |
-1.81 |
54.25 |
52.90% |
W 35-24 |
4-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@App State |
23.21 |
19.78 |
-3.43 |
42.99 |
55.50% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-08 |
Florida International |
24.58 |
18.58 |
-6.00 |
43.16 |
59.62% |
W 31-24 |
5-0 |
| 2024-10-23 |
@Kennesaw State |
29.36 |
15.43 |
-13.92 |
44.79 |
72.33% |
L 24-27 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-30 |
Jacksonville State |
28.28 |
30.06 |
+1.78 |
58.34 |
47.15% |
L 21-31 |
5-2 |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Middle Tennessee |
29.70 |
16.04 |
-13.66 |
45.74 |
71.91% |
W 37-17 |
6-2 |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Massachusetts |
33.54 |
19.18 |
-14.37 |
52.72 |
73.04% |
W 35-34 |
7-2 |
| 2024-11-23 |
Western Kentucky |
24.25 |
21.57 |
-2.67 |
45.82 |
54.29% |
W 38-21 |
8-2 |
| 2024-11-29 |
@Sam Houston |
16.42 |
17.39 |
+0.97 |
33.81 |
48.44% |
L 18-20 |
8-3 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-4 |
44.64% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 9-3 |
55.36% |
44.64% |
55.36% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.03% |
| 3-9 |
0.26% |
| 4-8 |
1.39% |
| 5-7 |
5.09% |
| 6-6 |
12.34% |
| 7-5 |
20.92% |
| 8-4 |
25.08% |
| 9-3 |
20.27% |
| 10-2 |
10.84% |
| 11-1 |
3.29% |
| 12-0 |
0.47% |