BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:01 on Sunday, December 1, 2024
California 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.77 |
26.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.83 |
377.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
California 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
31.64 |
38.86 (+7.22) |
25.64 |
24.24 (-1.40) |
24.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
398.45 |
440.86 (+42.40) |
392.00 |
392.36 (+0.36) |
392.36 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.45 |
5.91 (+0.47) |
5.74 |
5.66 (-0.08) |
5.66 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
34.09 |
26.05 (-8.04) |
23.00 |
22.81 (-0.19) |
22.81 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
417.09 |
360.07 (-57.02) |
344.73 |
337.93 (-6.79) |
337.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.82 |
5.07 (-0.75) |
5.01 |
5.05 (+0.04) |
5.05 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
UC Davis |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 31-13 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Auburn |
20.65 |
25.48 |
+4.83 |
46.13 |
42.25% |
W 21-14 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-15 |
San Diego State |
30.77 |
12.13 |
-18.64 |
42.90 |
79.89% |
W 31-10 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Florida State |
21.97 |
14.50 |
-7.47 |
36.46 |
61.98% |
L 9-14 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-06 |
Miami |
25.60 |
39.89 |
+14.29 |
65.49 |
27.08% |
L 38-39 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Pittsburgh |
24.11 |
24.93 |
+0.82 |
49.04 |
48.68% |
L 15-17 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
NC State |
31.22 |
26.36 |
-4.86 |
57.57 |
57.80% |
L 23-24 |
3-4 |
| 2024-10-26 |
Oregon State |
31.63 |
18.53 |
-13.10 |
50.16 |
71.01% |
W 44-7 |
4-4 |
| 2024-11-09 |
@Wake Forest |
28.73 |
24.15 |
-4.58 |
52.89 |
57.35% |
W 46-36 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-16 |
Syracuse |
27.23 |
29.05 |
+1.82 |
56.29 |
47.08% |
L 25-33 |
5-5 |
| 2024-11-23 |
Stanford |
31.94 |
19.08 |
-12.86 |
51.02 |
70.63% |
W 24-21 |
6-5 |
| 2024-11-30 |
@SMU |
19.51 |
37.56 |
+18.05 |
57.07 |
21.05% |
L 6-38 |
6-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
| 2-10 |
0.17% |
| 3-9 |
1.23% |
| 4-8 |
5.08% |
| 5-7 |
12.68% |
| 6-6 |
21.64% |
| 7-5 |
25.11% |
| 8-4 |
19.74% |
| 9-3 |
10.41% |
| 10-2 |
3.26% |
| 11-1 |
0.63% |
| 12-0 |
0.04% |