BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:01 on Sunday, December 1, 2024
SMU 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.77 |
26.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.83 |
377.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
SMU 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
38.25 |
36.35 (-1.90) |
37.36 |
39.45 (+2.09) |
39.45 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
455.75 |
426.45 (-29.30) |
429.18 |
442.87 (+13.68) |
442.87 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.43 |
5.87 (-0.56) |
6.47 |
6.78 (+0.31) |
6.78 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
18.83 |
17.97 (-0.86) |
20.91 |
21.70 (+0.79) |
21.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
307.67 |
321.40 (+13.73) |
339.09 |
350.62 (+11.53) |
350.62 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.59 |
4.91 (+0.33) |
4.76 |
4.89 (+0.12) |
4.89 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-25 |
@Nevada |
43.16 |
19.82 |
-23.34 |
62.97 |
87.44% |
W 29-24 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-01 |
Houston Christian |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 59-7 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-06 |
BYU |
34.73 |
25.73 |
-9.01 |
60.46 |
64.45% |
L 15-18 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
TCU |
45.34 |
26.88 |
-18.46 |
72.22 |
79.62% |
W 66-42 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-29 |
Florida State |
39.58 |
11.49 |
-28.09 |
51.07 |
95.06% |
W 42-16 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Louisville |
33.04 |
34.04 |
+0.99 |
67.08 |
48.41% |
W 34-27 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-20 |
@Stanford |
45.86 |
19.53 |
-26.33 |
65.39 |
92.23% |
W 40-10 |
6-1 |
| 2024-10-27 |
@Duke |
35.35 |
24.14 |
-11.21 |
59.49 |
67.98% |
W 28-27 |
7-1 |
| 2024-11-03 |
Pittsburgh |
41.99 |
22.17 |
-19.82 |
64.16 |
81.79% |
W 48-25 |
8-1 |
| 2024-11-16 |
Boston College |
41.42 |
22.87 |
-18.55 |
64.30 |
79.75% |
W 38-28 |
9-1 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Virginia |
38.98 |
21.16 |
-17.82 |
60.15 |
78.58% |
W 33-7 |
10-1 |
| 2024-11-30 |
California |
37.56 |
19.51 |
-18.05 |
57.07 |
78.95% |
W 38-6 |
11-1 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 11-1 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 4-8 |
0.02% |
| 5-7 |
0.22% |
| 6-6 |
1.28% |
| 7-5 |
5.08% |
| 8-4 |
13.96% |
| 9-3 |
25.80% |
| 10-2 |
29.45% |
| 11-1 |
19.01% |
| 12-0 |
5.19% |