BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:01 on Sunday, December 1, 2024
Illinois 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.77 |
26.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.83 |
377.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Illinois 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
24.50 |
30.88 (+6.38) |
27.45 |
28.71 (+1.26) |
28.71 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
387.50 |
408.04 (+20.54) |
354.73 |
369.80 (+15.08) |
369.80 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.83 |
6.38 (+0.55) |
5.75 |
5.89 (+0.15) |
5.89 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.42 |
26.34 (-3.08) |
24.09 |
27.40 (+3.31) |
27.40 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
378.42 |
409.67 (+31.26) |
388.73 |
423.30 (+34.58) |
423.30 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.34 |
5.45 (+0.11) |
5.69 |
5.97 (+0.29) |
5.97 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.3 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-30 |
Eastern Illinois |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-0 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Kansas |
29.13 |
31.49 |
+2.35 |
60.62 |
46.22% |
W 23-17 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Central Michigan |
38.62 |
16.92 |
-21.70 |
55.53 |
84.81% |
W 30-9 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Nebraska |
22.66 |
26.18 |
+3.52 |
48.83 |
44.35% |
W 31-24 |
4-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Penn State |
18.07 |
36.97 |
+18.91 |
55.04 |
19.68% |
L 7-21 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Purdue |
47.90 |
16.92 |
-30.98 |
64.82 |
99.69% |
W 50-49 |
5-1 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Michigan |
22.79 |
27.11 |
+4.32 |
49.89 |
43.07% |
W 21-7 |
6-1 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Oregon |
20.22 |
40.74 |
+20.52 |
60.96 |
17.08% |
L 9-38 |
6-2 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Minnesota |
23.65 |
26.55 |
+2.90 |
50.19 |
45.35% |
L 17-25 |
6-3 |
| 2024-11-16 |
Michigan State |
32.20 |
18.49 |
-13.70 |
50.69 |
71.98% |
W 38-16 |
7-3 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Rutgers |
31.16 |
30.60 |
-0.55 |
61.76 |
50.89% |
W 38-31 |
8-3 |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Northwestern |
31.48 |
21.16 |
-10.32 |
52.64 |
66.56% |
W 38-28 |
9-3 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 9-3 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.05% |
| 3-9 |
0.65% |
| 4-8 |
3.69% |
| 5-7 |
12.06% |
| 6-6 |
22.86% |
| 7-5 |
26.99% |
| 8-4 |
20.37% |
| 9-3 |
10.07% |
| 10-2 |
2.83% |
| 11-1 |
0.40% |
| 12-0 |
0.03% |