BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:01 on Sunday, December 1, 2024
Northwestern 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.77 |
26.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.83 |
377.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Northwestern 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.73 |
30.48 (+7.76) |
16.64 |
18.78 (+2.14) |
18.78 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
304.45 |
324.27 (+19.82) |
268.09 |
283.18 (+15.09) |
283.18 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.73 |
5.30 (+0.57) |
4.26 |
4.61 (+0.34) |
4.61 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.18 |
21.21 (-2.97) |
28.09 |
29.45 (+1.36) |
29.45 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
348.64 |
379.09 (+30.45) |
375.45 |
403.25 (+27.79) |
403.25 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.35 |
5.47 (+0.12) |
5.82 |
5.91 (+0.10) |
5.91 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Miami (OH) |
14.99 |
23.29 |
+8.30 |
38.28 |
36.69% |
W 13-6 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Duke |
17.67 |
28.74 |
+11.07 |
46.41 |
32.24% |
L 20-26 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Eastern Illinois |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 31-7 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Washington |
15.54 |
28.80 |
+13.26 |
44.33 |
28.73% |
L 5-24 |
2-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Indiana |
15.06 |
45.43 |
+30.37 |
60.49 |
1.28% |
L 24-41 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Maryland |
22.62 |
30.58 |
+7.96 |
53.20 |
37.24% |
W 37-10 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Wisconsin |
18.43 |
26.38 |
+7.95 |
44.82 |
37.25% |
L 3-23 |
3-4 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Iowa |
14.39 |
35.29 |
+20.90 |
49.69 |
16.48% |
L 14-40 |
3-5 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Purdue |
32.76 |
20.20 |
-12.56 |
52.96 |
70.14% |
W 26-20 |
4-5 |
| 2024-11-16 |
Ohio State |
7.86 |
40.40 |
+32.54 |
48.26 |
0.10% |
L 7-31 |
4-6 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Michigan |
12.20 |
32.19 |
+19.99 |
44.39 |
17.94% |
L 6-50 |
4-7 |
| 2024-11-30 |
Illinois |
21.16 |
31.48 |
+10.32 |
52.64 |
33.44% |
L 28-38 |
4-8 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
1.61% |
| 2-10 |
9.55% |
| 3-9 |
22.70% |
| 4-8 |
28.52% |
| 5-7 |
22.19% |
| 6-6 |
11.11% |
| 7-5 |
3.53% |
| 8-4 |
0.70% |
| 9-3 |
0.08% |
| 10-2 |
0.00% |