BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:01 on Sunday, December 1, 2024
Buffalo 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.77 |
26.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.83 |
377.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Buffalo 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
19.45 |
17.00 (-2.45) |
29.00 |
23.57 (-5.43) |
23.57 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
300.45 |
260.57 (-39.88) |
349.36 |
321.37 (-27.99) |
321.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.49 |
3.82 (-0.67) |
5.17 |
4.70 (-0.47) |
4.70 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
26.27 |
29.04 (+2.77) |
29.36 |
32.99 (+3.63) |
32.99 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
353.82 |
425.55 (+71.73) |
420.82 |
469.50 (+48.68) |
469.50 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.94 |
6.67 (+0.73) |
5.94 |
6.65 (+0.71) |
6.65 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-29 |
Lafayette |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 30-13 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Missouri |
20.08 |
37.90 |
+17.82 |
57.97 |
21.42% |
L 0-38 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Massachusetts |
38.40 |
27.51 |
-10.88 |
65.91 |
67.45% |
W 34-3 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Northern Illinois |
16.55 |
23.11 |
+6.56 |
39.67 |
39.48% |
W 23-20 |
3-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@UConn |
22.37 |
30.86 |
+8.49 |
53.24 |
36.38% |
L 3-47 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Toledo |
26.97 |
31.73 |
+4.76 |
58.69 |
42.36% |
W 30-15 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Western Michigan |
35.48 |
29.09 |
-6.39 |
64.57 |
60.24% |
L 41-48 |
4-3 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Ohio |
19.76 |
33.11 |
+13.35 |
52.88 |
28.58% |
L 16-47 |
4-4 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Akron |
31.15 |
24.40 |
-6.75 |
55.55 |
60.82% |
W 41-30 |
5-4 |
| 2024-11-13 |
Ball State |
42.48 |
28.31 |
-14.17 |
70.79 |
72.72% |
W 51-48 |
6-4 |
| 2024-11-21 |
@Eastern Michigan |
32.82 |
30.98 |
-1.84 |
63.80 |
52.94% |
W 37-20 |
7-4 |
| 2024-11-27 |
Kent State |
46.75 |
15.64 |
-31.11 |
62.39 |
99.90% |
W 43-7 |
8-4 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-4 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.09% |
| 3-9 |
0.94% |
| 4-8 |
4.54% |
| 5-7 |
13.04% |
| 6-6 |
22.75% |
| 7-5 |
25.94% |
| 8-4 |
19.68% |
| 9-3 |
9.53% |
| 10-2 |
2.98% |
| 11-1 |
0.47% |
| 12-0 |
0.04% |