BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:01 on Sunday, December 1, 2024
Toledo 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.77 |
26.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.83 |
377.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Toledo 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
30.50 |
32.14 (+1.64) |
24.64 |
25.29 (+0.66) |
25.29 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
406.08 |
377.40 (-28.69) |
354.55 |
335.97 (-18.58) |
335.97 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.67 |
6.20 (-0.46) |
5.27 |
4.91 (-0.36) |
4.91 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
22.08 |
28.04 (+5.96) |
22.36 |
26.98 (+4.62) |
26.98 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
325.17 |
406.98 (+81.81) |
352.27 |
373.50 (+21.22) |
373.50 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.09 |
5.80 (+0.71) |
5.03 |
5.24 (+0.21) |
5.24 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-29 |
Duquesne |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 49-10 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Massachusetts |
39.51 |
20.64 |
-18.87 |
60.14 |
80.26% |
W 38-23 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Mississippi State |
33.38 |
31.25 |
-2.12 |
64.63 |
53.41% |
W 41-17 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Western Kentucky |
26.08 |
27.30 |
+1.22 |
53.38 |
48.04% |
L 21-26 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Miami (OH) |
21.50 |
21.78 |
+0.29 |
43.28 |
49.54% |
W 30-20 |
4-1 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Buffalo |
31.73 |
26.97 |
-4.76 |
58.69 |
57.64% |
L 15-30 |
4-2 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Northern Illinois |
18.02 |
18.54 |
+0.52 |
36.56 |
49.16% |
W 13-6 |
5-2 |
| 2024-10-26 |
Bowling Green |
24.66 |
22.94 |
-1.71 |
47.60 |
52.75% |
L 26-41 |
5-3 |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Eastern Michigan |
34.82 |
24.45 |
-10.36 |
59.27 |
66.62% |
W 29-28 |
6-3 |
| 2024-11-13 |
Central Michigan |
34.76 |
16.89 |
-17.87 |
51.65 |
78.66% |
W 37-10 |
7-3 |
| 2024-11-21 |
Ohio |
24.05 |
24.53 |
+0.48 |
48.58 |
49.23% |
L 7-24 |
7-4 |
| 2024-11-27 |
@Akron |
33.12 |
19.76 |
-13.36 |
52.87 |
71.43% |
L 14-21 |
7-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.01% |
| 2-10 |
0.05% |
| 3-9 |
0.45% |
| 4-8 |
2.10% |
| 5-7 |
6.92% |
| 6-6 |
14.98% |
| 7-5 |
23.28% |
| 8-4 |
24.00% |
| 9-3 |
17.52% |
| 10-2 |
8.17% |
| 11-1 |
2.25% |
| 12-0 |
0.28% |