BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:01 on Sunday, December 1, 2024
Troy 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.77 |
26.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.83 |
377.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Troy 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
29.75 |
36.52 (+6.77) |
25.27 |
23.36 (-1.91) |
23.36 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
388.50 |
365.04 (-23.46) |
356.82 |
335.62 (-21.20) |
335.62 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.07 |
5.70 (-0.37) |
5.46 |
5.14 (-0.32) |
5.14 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
16.08 |
13.43 (-2.65) |
29.91 |
29.81 (-0.10) |
29.81 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
296.33 |
296.92 (+0.59) |
366.91 |
372.01 (+5.10) |
372.01 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.79 |
4.89 (+0.10) |
6.12 |
6.12 (+0.00) |
6.12 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Nevada |
27.85 |
24.02 |
-3.83 |
51.87 |
56.14% |
L 26-28 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Memphis |
22.45 |
38.30 |
+15.86 |
60.75 |
24.57% |
L 17-38 |
0-2 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Iowa |
18.44 |
35.73 |
+17.28 |
54.17 |
22.28% |
L 21-38 |
0-3 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Florida A&M |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 34-12 |
1-3 |
| 2024-09-28 |
UL Monroe |
25.96 |
22.31 |
-3.65 |
48.28 |
55.85% |
L 9-13 |
1-4 |
| 2024-10-03 |
Texas State |
25.56 |
42.86 |
+17.30 |
68.42 |
22.25% |
L 17-38 |
1-5 |
| 2024-10-15 |
@South Alabama |
23.37 |
33.79 |
+10.42 |
57.16 |
33.28% |
L 9-25 |
1-6 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@Arkansas State |
29.81 |
26.64 |
-3.17 |
56.45 |
55.09% |
L 31-34 |
1-7 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Coastal Carolina |
28.61 |
30.52 |
+1.91 |
59.13 |
46.94% |
W 38-24 |
2-7 |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Georgia Southern |
22.99 |
33.47 |
+10.48 |
56.45 |
33.19% |
W 28-20 |
3-7 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Louisiana |
21.69 |
38.60 |
+16.92 |
60.29 |
22.87% |
L 30-51 |
3-8 |
| 2024-11-30 |
Southern Miss |
35.14 |
12.64 |
-22.50 |
47.78 |
86.08% |
W 52-20 |
4-8 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.11% |
| 2-10 |
1.21% |
| 3-9 |
6.33% |
| 4-8 |
15.98% |
| 5-7 |
24.61% |
| 6-6 |
24.94% |
| 7-5 |
16.62% |
| 8-4 |
7.57% |
| 9-3 |
2.19% |
| 10-2 |
0.42% |
| 11-1 |
0.03% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |