BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:01 on Sunday, December 1, 2024
Nevada 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.77 |
26.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.83 |
377.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Nevada 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
18.36 |
13.98 (-4.38) |
20.92 |
21.38 (+0.46) |
21.38 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
295.64 |
248.45 (-47.19) |
359.17 |
362.85 (+3.68) |
362.85 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.53 |
3.84 (-0.69) |
5.73 |
5.84 (+0.11) |
5.84 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
33.45 |
29.25 (-4.20) |
29.83 |
29.81 (-0.02) |
29.81 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
432.55 |
431.72 (-0.83) |
395.25 |
398.58 (+3.33) |
398.58 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.94 |
7.00 (+0.06) |
6.12 |
6.15 (+0.03) |
6.15 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-25 |
SMU |
19.82 |
43.16 |
+23.34 |
62.97 |
12.56% |
L 24-29 |
0-1 |
| 2024-08-31 |
@Troy |
24.02 |
27.85 |
+3.83 |
51.87 |
43.86% |
W 28-26 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Georgia Southern |
22.83 |
29.89 |
+7.06 |
52.73 |
38.67% |
L 17-20 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Minnesota |
15.15 |
31.79 |
+16.64 |
46.94 |
23.31% |
L 0-27 |
1-3 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Eastern Washington |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 49-16 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@San José State |
23.33 |
30.02 |
+6.69 |
53.35 |
39.27% |
L 31-35 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Oregon State |
28.29 |
24.87 |
-3.43 |
53.16 |
55.49% |
W 42-37 |
3-4 |
| 2024-10-19 |
Fresno State |
24.11 |
25.46 |
+1.35 |
49.57 |
47.84% |
L 21-24 |
3-5 |
| 2024-10-27 |
@Hawai'i |
22.35 |
20.88 |
-1.47 |
43.22 |
52.36% |
L 13-34 |
3-6 |
| 2024-11-03 |
Colorado State |
22.66 |
23.42 |
+0.76 |
46.07 |
48.78% |
L 21-38 |
3-7 |
| 2024-11-10 |
@Boise State |
18.41 |
44.41 |
+26.00 |
62.82 |
8.30% |
L 21-28 |
3-8 |
| 2024-11-24 |
Air Force |
22.18 |
19.22 |
-2.96 |
41.40 |
54.74% |
L 19-22 |
3-9 |
| 2024-12-01 |
@UNLV |
19.46 |
39.93 |
+20.47 |
59.38 |
17.17% |
L 14-38 |
3-10 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-10 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-13 |
0.00% |
| 1-12 |
0.27% |
| 2-11 |
2.27% |
| 3-10 |
8.32% |
| 4-9 |
17.68% |
| 5-8 |
24.17% |
| 6-7 |
23.07% |
| 7-6 |
14.78% |
| 8-5 |
6.85% |
| 9-4 |
2.12% |
| 10-3 |
0.42% |
| 11-2 |
0.05% |
| 12-1 |
0.00% |