BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:01 on Sunday, December 1, 2024
UCF 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.77 |
26.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.83 |
377.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
UCF 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
31.09 |
34.22 (+3.13) |
28.00 |
32.97 (+4.97) |
32.97 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
475.18 |
485.11 (+9.93) |
430.36 |
468.91 (+38.54) |
468.91 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
7.23 |
7.15 (-0.08) |
6.35 |
6.82 (+0.47) |
6.82 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
26.45 |
20.02 (-6.43) |
29.09 |
30.53 (+1.44) |
30.53 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
394.36 |
358.48 (-35.88) |
354.64 |
343.17 (-11.46) |
343.17 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.78 |
5.54 (-0.25) |
5.34 |
5.19 (-0.15) |
5.19 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-29 |
New Hampshire |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 57-3 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Sam Houston |
30.32 |
20.61 |
-9.71 |
50.92 |
65.57% |
W 45-14 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@TCU |
36.30 |
38.83 |
+2.54 |
75.13 |
45.93% |
W 35-34 |
3-0 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Colorado |
29.54 |
39.20 |
+9.66 |
68.74 |
34.51% |
L 21-48 |
3-1 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Florida |
29.39 |
38.48 |
+9.09 |
67.87 |
35.42% |
L 13-24 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Cincinnati |
30.43 |
30.47 |
+0.04 |
60.90 |
49.93% |
L 13-19 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Iowa State |
25.93 |
39.96 |
+14.03 |
65.88 |
27.49% |
L 35-38 |
3-4 |
| 2024-10-26 |
BYU |
28.86 |
35.33 |
+6.47 |
64.19 |
39.63% |
L 24-37 |
3-5 |
| 2024-11-02 |
Arizona |
41.35 |
26.05 |
-15.29 |
67.40 |
74.53% |
W 56-12 |
4-5 |
| 2024-11-10 |
@Arizona State |
26.20 |
38.53 |
+12.33 |
64.73 |
30.23% |
L 31-35 |
4-6 |
| 2024-11-23 |
@West Virginia |
37.15 |
33.44 |
-3.72 |
70.59 |
55.96% |
L 21-31 |
4-7 |
| 2024-11-30 |
Utah |
27.99 |
23.40 |
-4.59 |
51.39 |
57.37% |
L 14-28 |
4-8 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.05% |
| 2-10 |
0.71% |
| 3-9 |
3.47% |
| 4-8 |
10.31% |
| 5-7 |
19.47% |
| 6-6 |
24.34% |
| 7-5 |
21.73% |
| 8-4 |
13.21% |
| 9-3 |
5.16% |
| 10-2 |
1.35% |
| 11-1 |
0.20% |
| 12-0 |
0.01% |