BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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       Last Updated: 09:30 on Monday, January 6, 2025
        #36 TCU 2024 Season Summary
		
	National Average Data
	
	  
		
		   | Category
		    | 2023 Raw
 		    | 2024 Raw
		    | 2024 Blended (Δ)
		 | 
	  
	  
		
		   | Points Per Game (PPG) | 
		   26.70 | 
		   26.76 | 
		   26.76 (+0.00) | 
		
	    
		  | Yards Per Game (YPG) | 
		  379.93 | 
		  377.68 | 
		  377.68 (+0.00) | 
		
		
		  | Yards Per Play (YPP) | 
		  5.70 | 
		  5.71 | 
		  5.71 (+0.00) | 
		
	  
	
	TCU 2024 - Unit Statistics
	Offense (#30)
	
	  
		| Category                
		     | 2023 Raw
			 | 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
			 | 2024 Raw
			 | 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
			 | 2024 Blended (Δ)
		 | 
	  
	  
		
			| Points Scored per Game (PPG): | 
			30.45 | 
			36.95 (+6.49) | 
			32.36 | 
			32.34 (-0.03) | 
			32.34 (+0.00) | 
		
        
            | Yards Gained per Game (YPG): | 
		    464.36 | 
            503.64 (+39.27) | 
            430.82 | 
            429.62 (-1.20) | 
            429.62 (+0.00) | 
        
        
            | Yards Gained per Play (YPP): | 
		    6.18 | 
            6.57 (+0.39) | 
            6.36 | 
            6.34 (-0.02) | 
    		6.34 (+0.00) | 
        
	  
	
    Defense (#70)
	
	  
        | Category
             | 2023 Raw
             | 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
             | 2024 Raw
             | 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
             | 2024 Blended (Δ)
         | 
	  
	  
	    
            | Points Yielded per Game (PPG): | 
            29.82 | 
            20.37 (-9.45) | 
            28.82 | 
            29.25 (+0.43) | 
            29.25 (+0.00) | 
        
        
            | Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): | 
            420.91 | 
            378.90 (-42.01) | 
            377.36 | 
            373.05 (-4.31) | 
		    373.05 (+0.00) | 
        
        
            | Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): | 
            5.79 | 
            5.42 (-0.37) | 
            5.34 | 
            5.29 (-0.05) | 
		    5.29 (+0.00) | 
        
	  
    
	Intangibles
	 
      
        
		    | Category
             | Measure(s)
         | 
      
      
        
		    | Home Field Advantage
             | +2.1 | 
        
      
    
	Schedule Analysis
	
	  
	    
	  	  | Date
		   | Opponent
		   | BizMa Points For
		   | BizMa Points Against
		   | BizMa Spread
		   | BizMa O/U
		   | BizMa Win %
		   | Real Outcome
		   | Team Record
	     | 
	  
	  
      	
        	| 2024-08-31 | 
        	@Stanford | 
        	38.23 | 
        26.09 | 
        -12.14 | 
		64.32 | 
        69.47% | 
		W 34-27 | 
		1-0 | 
	  
	  
         | 2024-09-08 | 
         Long Island University | 
		 Non-FBS Opponent | 
		W 45-0 | 
		2-0 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2024-09-14 | 
        	UCF | 
        	38.73 | 
        36.14 | 
        -2.58 | 
		74.87 | 
        54.14% | 
		L 34-35 | 
		2-1 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2024-09-21 | 
        	@SMU | 
        	27.23 | 
        44.91 | 
        +17.68 | 
		72.14 | 
        21.64% | 
		L 42-66 | 
		2-2 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2024-09-28 | 
        	@Kansas | 
        	30.56 | 
        36.25 | 
        +5.69 | 
		66.81 | 
        40.88% | 
		W 38-27 | 
		3-2 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2024-10-04 | 
        	Houston | 
        	29.61 | 
        18.08 | 
        -11.53 | 
		47.69 | 
        68.50% | 
		L 19-30 | 
		3-3 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2024-10-20 | 
        	@Utah | 
        	24.84 | 
        25.36 | 
        +0.51 | 
		50.20 | 
        49.18% | 
		W 13-7 | 
		4-3 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2024-10-26 | 
        	Texas Tech | 
        	38.01 | 
        39.26 | 
        +1.25 | 
		77.28 | 
        48.00% | 
		W 35-34 | 
		5-3 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2024-11-03 | 
        	@Baylor | 
        	32.36 | 
        42.05 | 
        +9.69 | 
		74.41 | 
        34.45% | 
		L 34-37 | 
		5-4 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2024-11-10 | 
        	Oklahoma State | 
        	43.24 | 
        28.18 | 
        -15.06 | 
		71.41 | 
        74.16% | 
		W 38-13 | 
		6-4 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2024-11-23 | 
        	Arizona | 
        	40.01 | 
        24.65 | 
        -15.36 | 
		64.67 | 
        74.64% | 
		W 49-28 | 
		7-4 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2024-11-30 | 
        	@Cincinnati | 
        	27.76 | 
        31.15 | 
        +3.39 | 
		58.91 | 
        44.56% | 
		W 20-13 | 
		8-4 | 
	  
| Postseason | 
      	
        	| 2024-12-28 | 
        	Louisiana | 
        	32.84 | 
        33.07 | 
        +0.23 | 
		65.91 | 
        49.63% | 
		W 34-3 | 
		9-4 | 
	  
	  
	
	Season Analysis
	
	  
	    
	      | Record
		   | Probability
		   | Ceiling
		   | Floor
	     | 
	  
	  
	    
	      | 9-4 | 
		  100.00% | 
		  0.00% | 
		  100.00% | 
	    
      
    
	Expected Wins Analysis
    
      
        
          | Record
           | Probability
         | 
      
      
        
          | 1-12 | 
          0.01% | 
        
        
          | 2-11 | 
          0.11% | 
        
        
          | 3-10 | 
          0.84% | 
        
        
          | 4-9 | 
          3.37% | 
        
        
          | 5-8 | 
          9.35% | 
        
        
          | 6-7 | 
          17.82% | 
        
        
          | 7-6 | 
          23.33% | 
        
        
          | 8-5 | 
          22.16% | 
        
        
          | 9-4 | 
          14.43% | 
        
        
          | 10-3 | 
          6.42% | 
        
        
          | 11-2 | 
          1.83% | 
        
        
          | 12-1 | 
          0.30% | 
        
        
          | 13-0 | 
          0.03% |