Ole Miss

#12 13-2 SEC
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+12.7
Rank #12
Offense (Adj PPG)
38.0
Rank #9
Defense (Adj PPG)
22.0
Rank #38
Actual Record
13-2
All games played
Final Record
13-2
Season complete
Expected Wins
9.9
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30vsGeorgia State-37.6100%W 63-7 (1-0)-38.5 ✓ / 62 O
209/06@Kentucky-11.468%W 30-23 (2-0)-8.0 ✗ / 52 O
309/13vsArkansas-16.376%W 41-35 (3-0)-3.5 ✓ / 60 O
409/20vsTulane-13.371%W 45-10 (4-0)-12.5 ✓ / 62 U
509/27vsLSU-8.664%W 24-19 (5-0)-2.5 ✓ / 58 U
6IDLE
710/11vsWashington State-12.370%W 24-21 (6-0)-33.5 ✗ / 58 U
810/18@#8 Georgia+7.238%L 35-43 (6-1)+7.5 ✗ / 56 O
910/25@#15 Oklahoma+5.242%W 34-26 (7-1)+5.5 ✓ / 52 O
1011/01vsSouth Carolina-12.270%W 30-14 (8-1)-12.5 ✓ / 56 U
1111/08vsThe Citadel--W 49-0 (9-1)-51.5 ✗ / 64 U
1211/16vsFlorida-13.672%W 34-24 (10-1)-10.5 ✗ / 54 O
13IDLE
1411/28@Mississippi State-11.568%W 38-19 (11-1)-7.5 ✓ / 62 U
POST12/20vsTulane-13.371%W 41-10 (12-1)-17.5 ✓ / 58 U
POST01/02@#8 Georgia+7.238%W 39-34 (13-1)+6.0 ✓ / 54 O
POST01/09vs#6 Miami+5.042%L 27-31 (13-2)+3.0 ✗ / 52 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG34.838.0+3.3
Offense YPG806.2490.6-315.6
Offense YPP6.706.91+0.21
Defense PPG25.122.0-3.1
Defense YPG704.5355.9-348.6
Defense YPP5.645.52-0.12

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+5.525
Median (Current)+4.931
Mean (Historical)+5.138
Median (Historical)+2.552

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Ole Miss replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 13-2 Expected: 9.9 wins Culture Factor: +3.1 (Winners Win)
3-12
0.0%
4-11
0.1%
5-10
0.5%
6-9
1.9%
7-8
5.9%
8-7
12.6%
9-6
19.8%
10-5
23.1%
11-4
19.4%
12-3
11.2%
13-2
4.4%
14-1
0.9%
15-0
0.1%

Final Record

Final Wins
13
9-6
0.0%
10-5
0.0%
11-4
0.0%
12-3
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Ole Miss isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Ole Miss do with another team's schedule?