Georgia State

#131 1-11 Sun Belt
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-14.6
Rank #131
Offense (Adj PPG)
17.0
Rank #125
Defense (Adj PPG)
35.0
Rank #128
Actual Record
1-11
All games played
Final Record
1-11
Season complete
Expected Wins
3.5
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30@#12 Ole Miss+37.60%L 7-63 (0-1)+38.5 ✗ / 62 O
209/06vsMemphis+20.916%L 16-38 (0-2)+14.5 ✗ / 58 U
309/13vsMurray State--W 37-21 (1-2)-31.5 ✗ / 64 U
409/20@#10 Vanderbilt+38.80%L 21-70 (1-3)+27.5 ✗ / 54 O
5IDLE
610/04vs#18 James Madison+26.87%L 7-14 (1-4)+19.5 ✓ / 52 U
710/11vsApp State+4.343%L 20-41 (1-5)+3.0 ✗ / 56 O
810/18@Georgia Southern+9.834%L 24-41 (1-6)+6.5 ✗ / 58 O
910/23vsSouth Alabama+5.042%L 31-38 (1-7)+5.5 ✗ / 54 O
10IDLE
1111/08@Coastal Carolina+6.340%L 27-40 (1-8)+7.0 ✗ / 56 O
1211/15vsMarshall+10.234%L 18-30 (1-9)+9.5 ✗ / 60 U
1311/22@Troy+13.928%L 19-31 (1-10)+9.5 ✗ / 51 U
1411/29@Old Dominion+25.110%L 10-27 (1-11)+29.0 ✓ / 58 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG19.517.0-2.5
Offense YPG392.2354.4-37.9
Offense YPP5.545.29-0.25
Defense PPG32.835.0+2.3
Defense YPG409.1433.2+24.1
Defense YPP5.976.54+0.57

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+0.670
Median (Current)-3.997
Mean (Historical)-2.483
Median (Historical)-4.898

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Georgia State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 1-11 Expected: 3.5 wins Culture Factor: -2.5 (Underperforming)
0-12
0.2%
1-11
5.1%
2-10
17.8%
3-9
28.9%
4-8
26.4%
5-7
14.9%
6-6
5.4%
7-5
1.1%
8-4
0.2%
9-3
0.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Georgia State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Georgia State do with another team's schedule?