Kentucky

#63 5-7 SEC
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+0.7
Rank #63
Offense (Adj PPG)
25.6
Rank #67
Defense (Adj PPG)
24.0
Rank #52
Actual Record
5-7
All games played
Final Record
5-7
Season complete
Expected Wins
5.3
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30vsToledo+2.846%W 24-16 (1-0)-10.0 ✗ / 48 U
209/06vs#12 Ole Miss+11.432%L 23-30 (1-1)+8.0 ✓ / 52 O
309/13vsEastern Michigan-16.076%W 48-23 (2-1)-26.5 ✗ / 50 O
4IDLE
509/27@South Carolina+6.140%L 13-35 (2-2)+5.5 ✗ / 46 O
610/04@#8 Georgia+18.720%L 14-35 (2-3)+19.5 ✗ / 48 O
7IDLE
810/18vs#22 Texas+8.836%L 13-16 (2-4)+12.5 ✓ / 46 U
910/25vsTennessee+5.741%L 34-56 (2-5)+7.5 ✗ / 56 O
1011/01@Auburn+8.936%W 10-3 (3-5)+11.5 ✓ / 44 U
1111/09vsFlorida-0.250%W 38-7 (4-5)+4.5 ✓ / 44 O
1211/15vsTennessee Tech--W 42-10 (5-5)-22.5 ✓ / 52 U
1311/22@#10 Vanderbilt+17.422%L 17-45 (5-6)+7.0 ✗ / 54 O
1411/29@Louisville+9.535%L 0-41 (5-7)+1.0 ✗ / 46 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG17.425.6+8.2
Offense YPG318.0365.2+47.2
Offense YPP4.995.56+0.57
Defense PPG29.824.0-5.8
Defense YPG366.8344.1-22.6
Defense YPP5.685.21-0.47

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+6.712
Median (Current)+7.313
Mean (Historical)+6.916
Median (Historical)+8.120

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Kentucky replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 5-7 Expected: 5.3 wins Culture Factor: -0.3 (Neutral)
0-12
0.0%
1-11
0.4%
2-10
2.7%
3-9
9.4%
4-8
19.3%
5-7
24.6%
6-6
22.2%
7-5
13.7%
8-4
5.8%
9-3
1.7%
10-2
0.3%
11-1
0.0%
12-0
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
5
1-11
0.0%
2-10
0.0%
3-9
0.0%
4-8
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Kentucky isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Kentucky do with another team's schedule?