| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | @Southern Miss | -7.1 | 61% | W 34-17 (1-0) | -11.5 ✓ / 60 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsArizona State | +1.2 | 48% | W 24-20 (2-0) | +6.0 ✓ / 58 U |
| 3 | 09/13 | vsAlcorn State | - | - | W 63-0 (3-0) | -42.5 ✓ / 56 O |
| 4 | 09/20 | vsNorthern Illinois | -19.2 | 81% | W 38-10 (4-0) | -23.5 ✓ / 48 U |
| 5 | 09/27 | vsTennessee | +5.6 | 41% | L 34-41 (4-1) | +7.5 ✓ / 64 O |
| 6 | 10/04 | @#9 Texas A&M | +17.8 | 21% | L 9-31 (4-2) | +17.5 ✗ / 58 U |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/18 | @Florida | +4.0 | 44% | L 21-23 (4-3) | +9.5 ✓ / 50 U |
| 9 | 10/25 | vs#22 Texas | +9.0 | 36% | L 38-45 (4-4) | +8.5 ✓ / 48 O |
| 10 | 11/01 | @Arkansas | +4.4 | 43% | W 38-35 (5-4) | +5.5 ✓ / 66 O |
| 11 | 11/08 | vs#8 Georgia | +14.4 | 27% | L 21-41 (5-5) | +9.5 ✗ / 56 O |
| 12 | 11/16 | @Missouri | +12.2 | 30% | L 27-49 (5-6) | +7.5 ✗ / 50 O |
| 13 | IDLE | |||||
| 14 | 11/28 | vs#12 Ole Miss | +11.5 | 32% | L 19-38 (5-7) | +7.5 ✗ / 62 U |
| POST | 01/03 | vsWake Forest | -2.0 | 53% | L 29-43 (5-8) | -3.0 ✗ / 52 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 25.2 | 30.1 | +4.9 |
| Offense YPG | 383.8 | 412.4 | +28.7 |
| Offense YPP | 5.36 | 5.77 | +0.42 |
| Defense PPG | 38.1 | 27.7 | -10.5 |
| Defense YPG | 475.4 | 391.8 | -83.6 |
| Defense YPP | 6.73 | 5.78 | -0.95 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +5.4 | 26 |
| Median (Current) | +7.0 | 15 |
| Mean (Historical) | +8.4 | 8 |
| Median (Historical) | +9.8 | 7 |
If Mississippi State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Mississippi State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Mississippi State do with another team's schedule?