Tulane

#43 11-3 American Athletic
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+4.9
Rank #43 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
26.6
Rank #61
Defense (Adj PPG)
22.2
Rank #41
Actual Record
11-3
All games played
Final Record
11-3
Season complete
Expected Wins
8.0
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30vsNorthwestern-3.455%W 23-3 (1-0)-6.5 ✓ / 48 U
209/06@South Alabama-12.270%W 33-31 (2-0)-13.5 ✗ / 52 O
309/14vsDuke-2.354%W 34-27 (3-0)-1.5 ✓ / 52 O
409/20@#12 Ole Miss+13.329%L 10-45 (3-1)+12.5 ✗ / 62 U
509/27@Tulsa-14.774%W 31-14 (4-1)-14.5 ✓ / 52 U
6IDLE
710/09vsEast Carolina-1.352%W 26-19 (5-1)-7.0 P / 54 U
810/18vsArmy-7.562%W 24-17 (6-1)-10.0 ✗ / 44 U
9IDLE
1010/30@UTSA-1.452%L 26-48 (6-2)-5.5 ✗ / 54 O
1111/08@Memphis+3.045%W 38-32 (7-2)+3.0 ✓ / 54 O
1211/15vsFlorida Atlantic-19.681%W 35-24 (8-2)-16.5 ✗ / 60 U
1311/22@Temple-9.365%W 37-13 (9-2)-7.5 ✓ / 54 U
1411/30vsCharlotte-27.995%W 27-0 (10-2)-31.5 ✗ / 52 U
1512/06vs#22 North Texas+4.443%W 34-21 (11-2)+1.5 ✓ / 66 U
POST12/20@#12 Ole Miss+13.329%L 10-41 (11-3)+17.5 ✗ / 58 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG28.926.6-2.3
Offense YPG409.0385.2-23.8
Offense YPP6.445.98-0.46
Defense PPG24.522.2-2.3
Defense YPG382.5377.1-5.4
Defense YPP5.855.77-0.08

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-0.574
Median (Current)+0.869
Mean (Historical)-1.276
Median (Historical)-2.986

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Tulane replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 11-3 Expected: 8.0 wins Culture Factor: +3.0 (Winners Win)
0-14
0.0%
2-12
0.0%
3-11
0.3%
4-10
1.5%
5-9
4.9%
6-8
11.4%
7-7
19.0%
8-6
22.6%
9-5
19.9%
10-4
12.8%
11-3
5.6%
12-2
1.6%
13-1
0.2%
14-0
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
11
8-6
0.0%
9-5
0.0%
10-4
0.0%
11-3
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Tulane isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Tulane do with another team's schedule?