BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023

Arkansas 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.72 26.72 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 380.24 380.24 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

Arkansas 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 30.00 36.36 (+6.36) 23.91 25.94 (+2.03) 25.94 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 440.73 502.09 (+61.37) 319.82 325.09 (+5.27) 325.09 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.98 6.89 (+0.91) 4.74 4.89 (+0.15) 4.89 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 28.91 23.52 (-5.39) 29.27 26.46 (-2.82) 26.46 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 457.18 425.12 (-32.06) 360.82 356.27 (-4.55) 356.27 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 6.48 5.99 (-0.49) 5.81 5.54 (-0.28) 5.54 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.9

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 Western Carolina Non-FBS Opponent W 56-13 1-0
2023-09-09 Kent State 48.98 8.72 -40.27 57.70 99.90% W 28-6 2-0
2023-09-16 BYU 28.19 24.64 -3.55 52.82 55.69% L 31-38 2-1
2023-09-23 @LSU 25.92 55.40 +29.47 81.32 2.73% L 31-34 2-2
2023-09-30 Texas A&M 20.44 36.92 +16.48 57.35 23.56% L 22-34 2-3
2023-10-07 @Ole Miss 19.11 36.96 +17.85 56.08 21.37% L 20-27 2-4
2023-10-14 @Alabama 11.95 40.02 +28.08 51.97 4.97% L 21-24 2-5
2023-10-21 Mississippi State 24.10 20.89 -3.21 44.99 55.15% L 3-7 2-6
2023-11-04 @Florida 23.64 33.85 +10.21 57.50 33.62% W 39-36 3-6
2023-11-11 Auburn 19.82 27.17 +7.35 46.98 38.21% L 10-48 3-7
2023-11-19 Florida International 40.56 14.49 -26.07 55.05 91.82% W 44-20 4-7
2023-11-24 Missouri 18.38 36.37 +17.99 54.75 21.14% L 14-48 4-8

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
4-8 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
2-10 0.28%
3-9 4.58%
4-8 17.35%
5-7 29.39%
6-6 27.74%
7-5 15.01%
8-4 4.68%
9-3 0.88%
10-2 0.09%
11-1 0.00%