BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Alabama 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Alabama 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
41.36 |
46.54 (+5.18) |
33.00 |
36.94 (+3.94) |
36.94 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
471.00 |
493.36 (+22.36) |
394.45 |
413.32 (+18.86) |
413.32 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.79 |
7.24 (+0.45) |
6.18 |
6.67 (+0.49) |
6.67 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
19.64 |
12.38 (-7.26) |
18.64 |
12.12 (-6.52) |
12.12 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
320.91 |
258.57 (-62.34) |
319.91 |
276.23 (-43.68) |
276.23 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.53 |
3.75 (-0.78) |
4.99 |
4.27 (-0.72) |
4.27 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.4 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Middle Tennessee |
47.06 |
8.09 |
-38.97 |
55.15 |
99.90% |
W 56-7 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Texas |
21.01 |
21.28 |
+0.27 |
42.29 |
49.57% |
L 24-34 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@South Florida |
54.67 |
13.19 |
-41.48 |
67.87 |
99.90% |
W 17-3 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Ole Miss |
31.93 |
17.75 |
-14.18 |
49.68 |
72.74% |
W 24-10 |
3-1 |
| 2023-10-01 |
@Mississippi State |
31.98 |
11.27 |
-20.71 |
43.24 |
83.22% |
W 40-17 |
4-1 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Texas A&M |
27.18 |
22.36 |
-4.81 |
49.54 |
57.72% |
W 26-20 |
5-1 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Arkansas |
40.02 |
11.95 |
-28.08 |
51.97 |
95.03% |
W 24-21 |
6-1 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Tennessee |
30.53 |
17.92 |
-12.61 |
48.45 |
70.22% |
W 34-20 |
7-1 |
| 2023-11-04 |
LSU |
40.09 |
29.40 |
-10.68 |
69.49 |
67.14% |
W 42-28 |
8-1 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Kentucky |
33.85 |
19.14 |
-14.72 |
52.99 |
73.60% |
W 49-21 |
9-1 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Chattanooga |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 66-10 |
10-1 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Auburn |
25.16 |
15.57 |
-9.59 |
40.73 |
65.39% |
W 27-24 |
11-1 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 11-1 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 4-8 |
0.02% |
| 5-7 |
0.25% |
| 6-6 |
1.50% |
| 7-5 |
6.73% |
| 8-4 |
16.79% |
| 9-3 |
27.53% |
| 10-2 |
27.68% |
| 11-1 |
15.70% |
| 12-0 |
3.80% |