BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Boise State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Boise State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
29.00 |
27.81 (-1.19) |
31.09 |
29.29 (-1.80) |
29.29 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
384.67 |
373.01 (-11.66) |
434.55 |
419.50 (-15.04) |
419.50 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.76 |
5.50 (-0.26) |
6.59 |
6.34 (-0.24) |
6.34 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
19.50 |
26.39 (+6.89) |
25.91 |
25.46 (-0.45) |
25.46 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
292.17 |
351.91 (+59.75) |
399.27 |
397.68 (-1.59) |
397.68 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.66 |
5.32 (+0.67) |
6.25 |
6.22 (-0.03) |
6.22 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Washington |
19.31 |
42.07 |
+22.76 |
61.39 |
13.50% |
L 19-56 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
UCF |
26.83 |
29.43 |
+2.60 |
56.27 |
45.83% |
L 16-18 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-16 |
North Dakota |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 42-18 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@San Diego State |
31.86 |
18.69 |
-13.17 |
50.55 |
71.12% |
W 34-31 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Memphis |
36.93 |
35.63 |
-1.29 |
72.56 |
52.07% |
L 32-35 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-08 |
San José State |
31.28 |
26.28 |
-4.99 |
57.56 |
58.00% |
W 35-27 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-15 |
@Colorado State |
35.61 |
22.49 |
-13.12 |
58.11 |
71.04% |
L 30-31 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Wyoming |
28.66 |
22.65 |
-6.01 |
51.31 |
59.63% |
W 32-7 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-05 |
@Fresno State |
30.02 |
26.21 |
-3.81 |
56.22 |
56.11% |
L 30-37 |
4-5 |
| 2023-11-12 |
New Mexico |
45.05 |
19.31 |
-25.73 |
64.36 |
91.28% |
W 42-14 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-19 |
@Utah State |
43.97 |
31.14 |
-12.83 |
75.12 |
70.58% |
W 45-10 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-24 |
Air Force |
27.68 |
21.79 |
-5.89 |
49.48 |
59.45% |
W 27-19 |
7-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-10 |
0.03% |
| 3-9 |
0.36% |
| 4-8 |
2.08% |
| 5-7 |
7.03% |
| 6-6 |
15.72% |
| 7-5 |
24.33% |
| 8-4 |
24.84% |
| 9-3 |
17.00% |
| 10-2 |
6.95% |
| 11-1 |
1.53% |
| 12-0 |
0.12% |