BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024

Boise State 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.70 26.70 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 379.93 379.93 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.70 5.70 (+0.00)

Boise State 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 29.00 27.81 (-1.19) 32.17 30.36 (-1.80) 30.36 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 384.67 373.01 (-11.66) 437.42 420.65 (-16.77) 420.65 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.76 5.50 (-0.26) 6.70 6.45 (-0.25) 6.45 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 19.50 26.39 (+6.89) 25.42 24.27 (-1.14) 24.27 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 292.17 351.91 (+59.75) 387.25 381.05 (-6.20) 381.05 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 4.66 5.32 (+0.67) 6.11 6.04 (-0.07) 6.04 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.2

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 @Washington 19.43 41.77 +22.35 61.20 14.16% L 19-56 0-1
2023-09-09 UCF 27.71 28.29 +0.57 56.00 49.08% L 16-18 0-2
2023-09-16 North Dakota Non-FBS Opponent W 42-18 1-2
2023-09-23 @San Diego State 32.84 17.90 -14.93 50.74 73.95% W 34-31 2-2
2023-09-30 @Memphis 38.04 34.39 -3.65 72.43 55.85% L 32-35 2-3
2023-10-08 San José State 32.38 25.16 -7.22 57.53 61.58% W 35-27 3-3
2023-10-15 @Colorado State 36.79 21.54 -15.25 58.32 74.46% L 30-31 3-4
2023-10-28 Wyoming 29.54 21.41 -8.13 50.94 63.04% W 32-7 4-4
2023-11-05 @Fresno State 31.10 25.12 -5.98 56.21 59.59% L 30-37 4-5
2023-11-12 New Mexico 46.21 18.27 -27.94 64.48 94.81% W 42-14 5-5
2023-11-19 @Utah State 45.16 30.00 -15.15 75.16 74.30% W 45-10 6-5
2023-11-24 Air Force 28.67 20.82 -7.85 49.49 62.59% W 27-19 7-5
2023-12-02 @UNLV 35.25 31.91 -3.34 67.16 55.36% W 44-20 8-5
Postseason
2023-12-17 UCLA 18.76 21.39 +2.63 40.15 45.78% L 22-35 8-6

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
8-6 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
2-12 0.00%
3-11 0.04%
4-10 0.35%
5-9 1.71%
6-8 5.50%
7-7 12.68%
8-6 20.62%
9-5 23.90%
10-4 19.63%
11-3 10.86%
12-2 3.89%
13-1 0.76%
14-0 0.06%