BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023

Memphis 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.72 26.72 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 380.24 380.24 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

Memphis 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 32.91 31.28 (-1.62) 38.18 34.02 (-4.16) 34.02 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 415.36 395.91 (-19.46) 439.73 414.99 (-24.74) 414.99 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 5.77 5.45 (-0.31) 6.51 6.05 (-0.46) 6.05 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 29.82 27.90 (-1.92) 30.36 34.21 (+3.85) 34.21 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 394.45 376.28 (-18.17) 442.09 463.44 (+21.35) 463.44 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.42 5.31 (-0.11) 6.48 6.82 (+0.33) 6.82 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.6

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 Bethune-Cookman Non-FBS Opponent W 56-14 1-0
2023-09-09 @Arkansas State 43.11 31.29 -11.83 74.40 68.97% W 37-3 2-0
2023-09-14 Navy 37.06 15.37 -21.69 52.43 84.80% W 28-24 3-0
2023-09-23 @Missouri 21.62 48.13 +26.51 69.76 7.48% L 27-34 3-1
2023-09-30 Boise State 35.63 36.93 +1.29 72.56 47.93% W 35-32 4-1
2023-10-13 Tulane 30.27 26.77 -3.50 57.05 55.62% L 21-31 4-2
2023-10-21 @UAB 52.02 34.53 -17.49 86.55 78.06% W 45-21 5-2
2023-10-28 @North Texas 51.61 37.69 -13.92 89.30 72.33% W 45-42 6-2
2023-11-04 South Florida 53.71 32.34 -21.38 86.05 84.28% W 59-50 7-2
2023-11-11 @Charlotte 42.06 19.07 -22.99 61.12 86.87% W 44-38 8-2
2023-11-18 SMU 31.22 43.24 +12.01 74.46 30.73% L 34-38 8-3
2023-11-24 @Temple 50.27 20.45 -29.83 70.72 97.84% W 45-21 9-3

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
9-3 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
2-10 0.00%
3-9 0.04%
4-8 0.34%
5-7 2.18%
6-6 8.07%
7-5 19.62%
8-4 29.16%
9-3 25.50%
10-2 12.29%
11-1 2.67%
12-0 0.15%