BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023

UCF 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.72 26.72 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 380.24 380.24 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

UCF 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 32.58 33.61 (+1.03) 31.09 31.64 (+0.55) 31.64 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 470.25 478.37 (+8.12) 475.18 485.21 (+10.03) 485.21 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 6.22 6.22 (+0.01) 7.23 7.13 (-0.10) 7.13 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 24.25 23.44 (-0.81) 26.45 22.46 (-3.99) 22.46 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 406.67 406.21 (-0.46) 394.36 357.20 (-37.16) 357.20 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 6.01 6.12 (+0.11) 5.78 5.55 (-0.23) 5.55 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.7

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-08-31 Kent State 56.45 6.16 -50.29 62.61 99.90% W 56-6 1-0
2023-09-09 @Boise State 29.43 26.83 -2.60 56.27 54.17% W 18-16 2-0
2023-09-16 Villanova Non-FBS Opponent W 48-14 3-0
2023-09-24 @Kansas State 20.16 42.11 +21.95 62.27 14.79% L 31-44 3-1
2023-09-30 Baylor 39.46 22.16 -17.30 61.61 77.75% L 35-36 3-2
2023-10-07 @Kansas 25.76 32.97 +7.20 58.73 38.44% L 22-51 3-3
2023-10-21 @Oklahoma 21.85 44.46 +22.61 66.31 13.73% L 29-31 3-4
2023-10-28 West Virginia 31.45 27.90 -3.55 59.34 55.69% L 28-41 3-5
2023-11-04 @Cincinnati 33.20 20.81 -12.39 54.01 69.87% W 28-26 4-5
2023-11-11 Oklahoma State 30.89 29.66 -1.23 60.55 51.98% W 45-3 5-5
2023-11-18 @Texas Tech 27.71 29.04 +1.33 56.75 47.87% L 23-24 5-6
2023-11-25 Houston 36.39 20.97 -15.42 57.36 74.73% W 27-13 6-6

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
6-6 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
2-10 0.05%
3-9 0.51%
4-8 3.29%
5-7 10.95%
6-6 21.76%
7-5 27.35%
8-4 21.90%
9-3 10.73%
10-2 3.01%
11-1 0.43%
12-0 0.02%