BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Cincinnati 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Cincinnati 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
28.18 |
26.09 (-2.09) |
20.27 |
22.38 (+2.10) |
22.38 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
380.82 |
344.89 (-35.92) |
392.73 |
412.63 (+19.90) |
412.63 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.74 |
5.23 (-0.51) |
5.41 |
5.57 (+0.16) |
5.57 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
21.27 |
19.57 (-1.70) |
31.55 |
28.94 (-2.61) |
28.94 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
335.36 |
318.08 (-17.28) |
402.27 |
384.57 (-17.70) |
384.57 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
4.63 |
4.54 (-0.10) |
6.91 |
6.62 (-0.29) |
6.62 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Eastern Kentucky |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 66-13 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Pittsburgh |
21.03 |
24.25 |
+3.21 |
45.28 |
44.85% |
W 27-21 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Miami (OH) |
21.88 |
17.98 |
-3.90 |
39.85 |
56.26% |
L 24-31 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Oklahoma |
16.92 |
50.58 |
+33.67 |
67.50 |
0.10% |
L 6-20 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@BYU |
22.03 |
30.27 |
+8.25 |
52.30 |
36.77% |
L 27-35 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Iowa State |
16.53 |
32.94 |
+16.41 |
49.47 |
23.68% |
L 10-30 |
2-4 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Baylor |
29.31 |
28.65 |
-0.66 |
57.96 |
51.06% |
L 29-32 |
2-5 |
| 2023-10-29 |
@Oklahoma State |
19.79 |
40.09 |
+20.30 |
59.88 |
17.44% |
L 13-45 |
2-6 |
| 2023-11-04 |
UCF |
20.81 |
33.20 |
+12.39 |
54.01 |
30.13% |
L 26-28 |
2-7 |
| 2023-11-12 |
@Houston |
23.98 |
28.73 |
+4.75 |
52.71 |
42.39% |
W 24-14 |
3-7 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@West Virginia |
20.18 |
37.92 |
+17.74 |
58.10 |
21.55% |
L 21-42 |
3-8 |
| 2023-11-26 |
Kansas |
20.14 |
38.72 |
+18.58 |
58.86 |
20.20% |
L 16-49 |
3-9 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
1.16% |
| 2-10 |
7.08% |
| 3-9 |
18.14% |
| 4-8 |
26.64% |
| 5-7 |
24.42% |
| 6-6 |
14.67% |
| 7-5 |
6.04% |
| 8-4 |
1.55% |
| 9-3 |
0.28% |
| 10-2 |
0.02% |
| 11-1 |
0.00% |