BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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       Last Updated: 02:00 on Monday, January 15, 2024
	Houston 2023 Season Summary
	National Average Data
	
	  
		
		   | Category
		    | 2022 Raw
 		    | 2023 Raw
		    | 2023 Blended (Δ)
		 | 
	  
	  
		
		   | Points Per Game (PPG) | 
		   27.17 | 
		   26.70 | 
		   26.70 (+0.00) | 
		
	    
		  | Yards Per Game (YPG) | 
		  386.24 | 
		  379.93 | 
		  379.93 (+0.00) | 
		
		
		  | Yards Per Play (YPP) | 
		  5.64 | 
		  5.70 | 
		  5.70 (+0.00) | 
		
	  
	
	Houston 2023 - Unit Statistics
	Offense
	
	  
		| Category                
		     | 2022 Raw
			 | 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
			 | 2023 Raw
			 | 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
			 | 2023 Blended (Δ)
		 | 
	  
	  
		
			| Points Scored per Game (PPG): | 
			37.17 | 
			34.93 (-2.24) | 
			23.67 | 
			25.09 (+1.42) | 
			25.09 (+0.00) | 
		
        
            | Yards Gained per Game (YPG): | 
		    463.83 | 
            451.38 (-12.45) | 
            351.33 | 
            357.22 (+5.88) | 
            357.22 (+0.00) | 
        
        
            | Yards Gained per Play (YPP): | 
		    6.72 | 
            6.47 (-0.25) | 
            5.62 | 
            5.55 (-0.07) | 
    		5.55 (+0.00) | 
        
	  
	
    Defense
	
	  
        | Category
             | 2022 Raw
             | 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
             | 2023 Raw
             | 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
             | 2023 Blended (Δ)
         | 
	  
	  
	    
            | Points Yielded per Game (PPG): | 
            33.50 | 
            31.63 (-1.87) | 
            31.50 | 
            28.20 (-3.30) | 
            28.20 (+0.00) | 
        
        
            | Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): | 
            429.83 | 
            413.98 (-15.85) | 
            421.92 | 
            378.39 (-43.53) | 
		    378.39 (+0.00) | 
        
        
            | Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): | 
            5.97 | 
            5.88 (-0.09) | 
            5.94 | 
            5.71 (-0.24) | 
		    5.71 (+0.00) | 
        
	  
    
	Intangibles
	 
      
        
		    | Category
             | Measure(s)
         | 
      
      
        
		    | Home Field Advantage
             | +1.5 | 
        
      
    
	Schedule Analysis
	
	  
	    
	  	  | Date
		   | Opponent
		   | BizMa Points For
		   | BizMa Points Against
		   | BizMa Spread
		   | BizMa O/U
		   | BizMa Win %
		   | Real Outcome
		   | Team Record
	     | 
	  
	  
      	
        	| 2023-09-02 | 
        	UT San Antonio | 
        	28.84 | 
        27.19 | 
        -1.64 | 
		56.03 | 
        52.64% | 
		W 17-14 | 
		1-0 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2023-09-09 | 
        	@Rice | 
        	31.33 | 
        29.66 | 
        -1.66 | 
		60.99 | 
        52.67% | 
		L 41-43 | 
		1-1 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2023-09-17 | 
        	TCU | 
        	22.86 | 
        36.56 | 
        +13.70 | 
		59.42 | 
        28.03% | 
		L 13-36 | 
		1-2 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2023-09-23 | 
        	Sam Houston State | 
        	30.58 | 
        16.23 | 
        -14.35 | 
		46.81 | 
        73.02% | 
		W 38-7 | 
		2-2 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2023-09-30 | 
        	@Texas Tech | 
        	21.09 | 
        34.86 | 
        +13.77 | 
		55.95 | 
        27.92% | 
		L 28-49 | 
		2-3 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2023-10-12 | 
        	West Virginia | 
        	24.39 | 
        34.33 | 
        +9.94 | 
		58.72 | 
        34.06% | 
		W 41-39 | 
		3-3 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2023-10-21 | 
        	Texas | 
        	11.16 | 
        42.54 | 
        +31.39 | 
		53.70 | 
        0.10% | 
		L 24-31 | 
		3-4 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2023-10-28 | 
        	@Kansas State | 
        	15.75 | 
        48.67 | 
        +32.92 | 
		64.42 | 
        0.10% | 
		L 0-41 | 
		3-5 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2023-11-04 | 
        	@Baylor | 
        	29.76 | 
        31.40 | 
        +1.64 | 
		61.16 | 
        47.36% | 
		W 25-24 | 
		4-5 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2023-11-12 | 
        	Cincinnati | 
        	28.63 | 
        23.90 | 
        -4.73 | 
		52.53 | 
        57.58% | 
		L 14-24 | 
		4-6 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2023-11-18 | 
        	Oklahoma State | 
        	25.12 | 
        36.28 | 
        +11.17 | 
		61.40 | 
        32.09% | 
		L 30-43 | 
		4-7 | 
	  
      	
        	| 2023-11-25 | 
        	@UCF | 
        	20.85 | 
        36.32 | 
        +15.47 | 
		57.18 | 
        25.18% | 
		L 13-27 | 
		4-8 | 
	  
	  
	
	Season Analysis
	
	  
	    
	      | Record
		   | Probability
		   | Ceiling
		   | Floor
	     | 
	  
	  
	    
	      | 4-8 | 
		  100.00% | 
		  0.00% | 
		  100.00% | 
	    
      
    
	Expected Wins Analysis
    
      
        
          | Record
           | Probability
         | 
      
      
        
          | 0-12 | 
          0.22% | 
        
        
          | 1-11 | 
          2.18% | 
        
        
          | 2-10 | 
          8.79% | 
        
        
          | 3-9 | 
          18.94% | 
        
        
          | 4-8 | 
          25.75% | 
        
        
          | 5-7 | 
          23.10% | 
        
        
          | 6-6 | 
          13.97% | 
        
        
          | 7-5 | 
          5.53% | 
        
        
          | 8-4 | 
          1.34% | 
        
        
          | 9-3 | 
          0.18% | 
        
        
          | 10-2 | 
          0.01% |