BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Connecticut 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Connecticut 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
19.09 |
16.12 (-2.97) |
18.00 |
12.81 (-5.19) |
12.81 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
288.73 |
269.29 (-19.44) |
313.82 |
273.06 (-40.76) |
273.06 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.77 |
4.54 (-0.22) |
5.06 |
4.65 (-0.41) |
4.65 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.18 |
33.80 (+5.61) |
32.27 |
33.14 (+0.86) |
33.14 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
401.27 |
454.31 (+53.04) |
413.82 |
418.48 (+4.66) |
418.48 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.61 |
6.38 (+0.77) |
6.37 |
6.61 (+0.24) |
6.61 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-08-31 |
NC State |
8.38 |
35.07 |
+26.69 |
43.45 |
7.19% |
L 14-24 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Georgia State |
16.46 |
29.03 |
+12.58 |
45.49 |
29.83% |
L 14-35 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Florida International |
24.66 |
19.55 |
-5.10 |
44.21 |
58.18% |
L 17-24 |
0-3 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Duke |
8.29 |
37.77 |
+29.48 |
46.07 |
2.72% |
L 7-41 |
0-4 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Utah State |
25.62 |
36.45 |
+10.84 |
62.07 |
32.62% |
L 33-34 |
0-5 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Rice |
17.39 |
34.44 |
+17.05 |
51.83 |
22.65% |
W 38-31 |
1-5 |
| 2023-10-21 |
South Florida |
26.22 |
31.30 |
+5.08 |
57.52 |
41.85% |
L 21-24 |
1-6 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Boston College |
15.82 |
35.25 |
+19.43 |
51.07 |
18.83% |
L 14-21 |
1-7 |
| 2023-11-04 |
@Tennessee |
7.26 |
44.86 |
+37.60 |
52.12 |
0.10% |
L 3-59 |
1-8 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@James Madison |
9.69 |
41.56 |
+31.86 |
51.25 |
0.10% |
L 6-44 |
1-9 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Sacred Heart |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 31-3 |
2-9 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@UMass |
26.32 |
29.57 |
+3.25 |
55.89 |
44.78% |
W 31-18 |
3-9 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
3.71% |
| 2-10 |
15.81% |
| 3-9 |
29.09% |
| 4-8 |
28.56% |
| 5-7 |
16.04% |
| 6-6 |
5.57% |
| 7-5 |
1.09% |
| 8-4 |
0.12% |
| 9-3 |
0.01% |